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Providing Insight
Into Climate Change
FoS Extracts - 2019

By: Ian Cameron                 TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

2019-08-27

 

How Canada Will Benefit from Climate Change

Former Minister of Natural Resources and Finance, Joe Oliver, points to a Moody Analytics study showing that Canada will benefit from climate change. He notes that Canada is a very large, cold country, with 90% of its population huddled within 100 miles of its southern border and an enormous agricultural potential if the land warms up. Moody’s study stated: “… when all the changes to things like tourism demand, crop yields and the growing season are factored in, there’s a slight net positive.” With a 1°C temperature rise the Canadian economy would be unaffected in 2048. A rise of 2.4°C would increase GDP by 0.1% and 4°C would boost it by 0.3%.
The impact on farming, however, would be dramatic. In the three Prairie provinces alone, an area more than twice the size of France, arable land could increase between 26% and 40% by 2040, according to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.
 
<https://pressfrom.info/ca/news/money/-158160-joe-oliver-here-s-a-truth-few-dare-to-utter-canada-will-benefit-from-climate-change.html>
<https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/climate-change-moody-s-1.5199652>
<https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2019/economic-implications-of-climate-change.pdf>
 

Is the Left Beginning to Abandon Renewable Energy?

Michael Moore has completed a new documentary, Planet of the Humans, that questions whether alternative energy is all that it’s cracked up to be. The film is a low-budget examination of what the filmmakers say are the false promises of the environmental movement and why we're still "addicted" to fossil fuels. It takes on electric cars, solar panels, windmills, biomass, biofuel, leading environmentalist groups like the Sierra Club, and even figures from Al Gore and Van Jones, who served as Barack Obama's special adviser for green jobs, to 350.org leader Bill McKibben, "It turned out the wakeup call was about our own side," the film’s director Jeff Gibbs said in a phone interview. "It was kind of crushing to discover that the things I believed in weren't real, first of all, and then to discover not only are the solar panels and wind turbines not going to save us ... but (also) that there is this whole dark side of the corporate money ... It dawned on me that these technologies were just another profit center."
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/08/09/michael-moore-backed-doc-planet-of-the-humans-tackles-false-promises-of-green-energy/>
 

 UN Chief”s Climate Asks Fall Flat on BRICS Countries

As environment ministers from Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa were meeting in Brazil, they gave only token acknowledgement of the UN Secretary-General’s call to ramp up ambition ahead of his climate action summit in September. Last month the S-G wrote to every head of state asking them to come to the summit ready to announce how they will strengthen their 2030 target and plan for carbon neutrality by 2050. He also asked them to tax CO2, stop subsidizing fossil fuels and stop building coal-fired power plants.
 
Last month the BRICS foreign ministers put out a statement saying that they “looked forward” to “positive outcomes” at the climate action summit, while reaffirming their commitments to the Paris Agreement “including the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capabilities”-that is, the industrialized world should carry the burden.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/08/14/un-chiefs-climate-asks-fall-flat-emerging-economies/>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/08/15/china-allies-challenge-un-chiefs-climate-vision/>
 

Greta’s Plastic Boat Trip Will Require Transatlantic Flights

Greta Thunberg’s “principled” non-flying trip across the Atlantic in a carbon fibre and non recyclable plastic boat is going to require at least four crew members to fly across the Atlantic. The reason is that two crew members have to fly to the US east coast for the return trip, while the two crew for the voyage to New York will return to Europe, via air.
 
However, according to a Conservative Woman article, it’s worse. There will be three transatlantic flights for the current westbound crew to return from New York, plus five more for its replacement eastbound crew to get to New York. ConWom suggests that Greta avoid the eco-boondoggle by flying to New York with her father or, better still, addressing the UN via Skype.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/08/18/doh-climate-messiah-greta-thunbergs-plastic-boat-trip-will-result-in-two-airline-flights/>
<https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7365909/Greta-Thunbergs-Atlantic-trip-zero-carbon-yacht-generate-emissions-saves.html>
<https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/how-green-is-st-gretas-ark-er-not-very/>
 

Post-Modern Witch Hunt: Nature Publishes Blacklist Of Critical Scientists & Writers

Susan Crockford, Judith Curry and Joanne Nova were among the 386 people blacklisted by the science journal Nature Communications in a recently-published paper by three authors from University of California Merced. Their paper juxtaposes 386 prominent “contrarians” with 386 “expert scientists” by tracking their digital footprints across ∼200,000 research publications and ∼100,000 English-language digital and print media articles on climate change. It found that contrarians are featured in 49% more media articles than scientists. As the the press release issued by UC Merced makes clear: “It’s time to stop giving these people visibility, which can be easily spun into false authority.”
According to Dr. Curry, "This ranks as the worst paper I have ever seen published in a reputable journal, ” and she lists the major methodological problems and dubious assumptions. She attributes her prominent inclusion on the list of contrarians to DeSmog’s hit piece on her.
 
<https://polarbearscience.com/2019/08/17/blacklist-by-nature-follows-defamation-by-bioscience-journals-reject-ethics-of-science/>
<https://judithcurry.com/2019/08/14/the-latest-travesty-in-consensus-enforcement/>
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/08/skeptics-get-49-more-media-and-other-fairy-fantasy-stories-from-nature-gossip-mag/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/08/17/the-nature-communications-hate-list-a-fast-moving-story/>
 

Why Ireland is “Nowhere Near” Meeting Its Climate-change Goals

Though Ireland has been lagging in its efforts to meet its climate-change goals and its prime minister admits that he is “not proud” of the country’s record, he still wants his country to become a “global leader on climate action.” Carbon Brief examines the key factors driving Irish emissions. The big culprit is agriculture, particularly the booming dairy and beef industry, that accounts for one-third. With a dispersed population, highly reliant on private transport to connect its network of small towns and villages, emissions from transport are high. Individual oil-fired boilers are used for home heating.
In 2017 renewables made up 30% of Ireland’s electricity generation, but they still lag behind gas. The target is to have 70% renewable electricity by 2030. Nevertheless the Irish Environmental Protection Agency projects that, with existing policies, the country will see emissions increase 1% by 2020 and 6% by 2030. The EPA estimates that Ireland will exceed its carbon budget over the 2021-2030 period by 52-67 millions of tonnes of CO2 equivalent Without additional measures Ireland could face fines from the EU of up to €600 million per year after 2020. With rising costs of carbon credits, the country could face fines totalling €7 billion by 2030.
 
<https://www.carbonbrief.org/in-depth-qa-why-ireland-is-nowhere-near-meeting-its-climate-change-goals>
 

EU Wood Burning Under Fire

A group of scholars, advocacy organizations and European and US landowners filed a lawsuit with Europe’s General Court in March charging that the EU policy of burning wood pellets will increase greenhouse gas emissions. The wood-pellet business is based on the assumption that it is zero-emission, but researchers found that burning wood produces more CO2 per unit of electricity than coal, and the “payback time” for forests to offset the emissions released is from 44 to 104 years.
The defendants, the European Parliament and the European Council, say the plaintiffs don’t have standing in the suit because they aren’t directly impacted.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/eu-wood-burning-under-fire/>
 

An Expensive Taste of the Zero-Carbon Future

Edinburgh University economics professor Gordon Hughes reports on the implications of energy costs of the flight from fossil fuels to renewables in the UK. A number of wind farms have contracted to supply power at prices too low to cover their costs, taking into account both costs of the investments and realistic estimates of performance. Prof. Hughes predicts that they will threaten to go bust, forcing the government to raise carbon taxes to bail them out. He compares this to a high-stakes game of poker, with the governments-to save face-being forced to bail out the wind operators.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/an-expensive-taste-of-the-zero-carbon-future/>
<https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2019/07/WindPokerWeb.pdf?>

 

 2019-08-08

 

Inside Quebec’s Green Climate Fund

Quebec's green fund was created in 2006 as a way of collecting billions in revenues-in large part from the province's version of a carbon tax-and redistributing the money towards initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Quebec collects hundreds of millions of dollars every year from a carbon credit cap-and-trade system, a total of $5.5 billion so far. When Ljiljana Latkovic was named to the council governing Quebec's multibillion-dollar green fund in 2017, she thought she was going to use her science background to help choose projects aimed at fighting climate change. Instead, she and the eight other council members were asked to sign off on proposals whose financing had already been approved by various government departments.
 
For many projects they were approving, councillors had no idea how the projects were actually going to reduce emissions. “My opinion is that the (environment) ministry didn't care about the reductions,” Ms. Latkovic said. The province’s new environment minister agrees, stating that, instead of promoting projects with strict greenhouse gas emission targets, the fund became a buffet for the pet projects of various ministers.
 
<https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/quebec-green-fund-money-used-for-pet-projects-new-minister-charges-1.4526775>
 

We Should Prepare for Extreme Weather, but Tying It to Climate Change is a Mistake

Joe Oliver, a former Canadian minister of finance and of natural resources, says that harm caused by extreme weather merits a national action plan, whatever the cause, or whether or not it is increasing in severity or frequency. He points to Judith Curry’s conclusion that “recent international and national climate assessment reports have reported low confidence in any link between manmade climate change and observations of wildfires, hurricanes, floods and droughts.” Dr. Curry had noted that the IPCC itself stated: “… there is not yet evidence of changes in the global frequency or intensity of hurricanes, droughts, floods or wildfires.” Dr. Curry also makes clear, our vulnerability to extreme weather has increased with population growth, the movement of people, goods and infrastructure to areas susceptible to extreme weather, questionable land-use practices and continuing ecosystem degradation.
 
Rather than preparing for weather disasters, the Canadian government is imposing a controversial CO2 tax that, because of the relative inelasticity of demand, is too low to change consumer behaviour, let alone have any measurable effect on the climate.
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/joe-oliver-we-should-prepare-for-extreme-weather-but-tying-it-to-climate-change-is-a-mistake>
 

Climate Change Head Scratchers

On June 17 Canada’s House of Commons passed a motion declaring a National Climate Emergency, However, climate change is a global issue, not a “national” one. In this article former Encana Corp. CEO Gwyn Morgan discusses this and seven other paradoxes and hypocrisy surrounding the climate issue.
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/gwyn-morgan-here-are-a-few-climate-change-head-scratchers-for-canadian-voters-to-ponder>
 

Cost of the Green New Deal: $70k per Household in the First Year

According to a study of five model states-Alaska, Florida, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Pennsylvania- Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s Green New Deal would cost more than $70,000 per household for higher costs for energy, housing, transportation and shipping. The study was co-authored by Power the Future and the Competitive Enterprise Institute. According to the CEI president: “The Green New Deal is a radical blueprint to de-carbonize the American economy by refashioning how we grow food, move people and goods, source and distribute electricity, and build the structures where we live, work, and play. Our analysis shows that, if implemented, the Green New Deal would cost for American households at least tens of thousands of dollars annually on a permanent basis.”
 
According to the National Interest, the Green New Deal prompted the AFL-CIO labour union federation to send a letter (see Twitter link) to the bill’s lead sponsors stating: “The Green New Deal resolution is far too short on specific solutions that speak to the jobs of our members and the critical sections of our economy. It is not rooted in an engineering-based approach and makes promises that are not achievable or realistic … We will not accept proposals that could cause immediate harm to millions of our members and their families. We will not stand by and allow threats to our members’ jobs and their families’ standard of living go unanswered.”
 
<https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/jul/30/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-green-new-deal-cost-70k/>
<https://cei.org/content/study-green-new-deal-would-cost-households-five-states-more-70k-first-year-implementation>
<https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/‘green-new-deal’-breaking-left-apart-68122>
<https://twitter.com/SenJohnBarrasso/status/1105236370681982977>
 

Pacific Islands Criticize Australia’s Climate Accounting Dodge

Pacific island nations have called out Australia for using Kyoto-era carbon credits to meet its climate commitments under the Paris Agreement. In 2015 Australia pledged to cut emissions to 26% below 2005 levels by 2030 and is not on track to meet its Paris target. Now, it is planning to use credits earned for overachieving its 1997 Kyoto pledge. Australia is currently the only country explicitly planning to use such credits, though Russia and Ukraine have left the door open to doing the same.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/31/pacific-islands-criticise-australias-carbon-accounting-dodge/>
 

Communicating Better to the Public: More Propaganda

An effort coordinated by the Covering Climate Now project, which was co-founded by the magazine The Nation and the Columbia Journalism Review, in partnership with The Guardian has resulted in over 60 media outlets committing to a week of focused climate-change coverage between September 16 and 23 (the latter being the date of the UN Secretary-General’s Climate Action Summit in New York). The initiative aims to increase the prominence and amount of the outlets' climate coverage and "to make it clear to their audiences that climate change is not just one more story but the overriding story of our time.”
 
<https://thehill.com/homenews/media/454912-more-than-60-outlets-commit-to-week-of-climate-coverage>
 

Greta Thunberg to Sail to New York Climate Summit in Racing Yacht

Greta Thunberg will sail across the Atlantic during the middle of hurricane season next month, to take a four-month climate tour of the Americas. Her first stop will be in New York to attend the climate action summit convened by UN chief António Guterres on 23 September. Thereafter, she is expected to tour the US, Canada and Mexico before traveling to the UN climate talks in Santiago, Chile, which start on 2 December – taking a sabbatical year from school to dedicate herself to activism. Ms. Thunberg will go by sea on a 60-foot sailboat (constructed from carbon fibre composites derived from petroleum and propane) and fitted with solar panels and underwater turbines that generate electricity. The aim is a zero carbon voyage.
 
It has not been revealed how Ms. Thunberg will travel home to Sweden after ending her Americas tour in Chile.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/29/greta-thunberg-sail-new-york-climate-summit-racing-yacht/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/07/30/well-done-greta-thunberg/>
<https://www.cfact.org/2019/07/31/climate-kid-greta-protesting-oil-on-yacht-made-of-hydrocarbons/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/08/05/questions-for-greta/>
 

114 Private Jets Flying to Google Summer Camp

The billionaire creators of Google invited who’s who of A-list names— including former President Barack Obama, Prince Harry, Leonardo DiCaprio and Katy Perry — to the Sicilian seaside for a mega-party they’ve dubbed Google Camp. The three-day event focused on fighting climate change — though it’s unknown how much time the attendees spent discussing their own effect on the environment, such as the scores of private jets they arrived in and the mega yachts many have been staying on. According to Italian press reports, the attendees were expected to show up in 114 private jets,
 
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/08/114-private-jets-flying-into-google-global-summer-camp-party-thing/>
<https://pagesix.com/2019/07/30/a-listers-flock-to-google-summit-in-private-jets-mega-yachts-to-talk-climate-change/>
<https://nationalpost.com/opinion/rex-murphy-theres-no-hypocrite-like-a-rich-jet-setting-anti-global-warming-one>
<https://pagesix.com/2019/07/30/a-listers-flock-to-google-summit-in-private-jets-mega-yachts-to-talk-climate-change/>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/donna-laframboise-google-groupthink-the-media/>
 

The Real Data on Energy Usage

The mainstream media and progressive politicians like to give a strong impression that the world is well on its way to an energy transition from the dirty fossil fuels of the past, and toward a low carbon and renewable energy of the future. However, the comprehensive Statistical Review of World Energy by BP gives a different picture. A chart of energy consumption by fuel type for 1992-2018 shows world consumption of fossil fuels of all types continues to increase at rapid rates, notably between 2017 and 2018. Two other graphs illustrate the utter futility of the US and Europe trying to “save the planet” by reducing coal consumption.
 
<https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2019-7-24-the-real-data-on-energy-usage>
<https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2019-full-report.pdf>
 

Marcel Crok’s Climate Adventures

In 2004 Dutch science journalist Marcel Crok researched and wrote an article on the Hockey Stick graph, pointing out that the algorithm used to produce it gave the same shape no matter what data was input. Mr. Crok’s article won an award, but journalistic colleagues dismissed him as a climate skeptic, and a Dutch government agency declared the article to be nonsense.
 
Mr. Crok quit his job to focus on the topic full time, and last December he spoke at a TEDx event that caused consternation at the TED head office. A link to the 21-minute video appears in the GWPF story below. In the video Mr. Crok describes his experience with the Hockey Stick graph and then discusses 20th century warming and the use of models and their shortcomings. He  also coves trends in climate extremes, sea-level rise and greening of the earth due to CO2. Mr. Crok concludes by urging his audience to trust the observational evidence of the past and present, rather than the virtual future predicted by over-sensitive climate models.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/marcel-croks-climate-adventures/>
 

If You Want Renewable Energy, Get Ready to Dig

“Renewable energy” is a misnomer. Wind and solar machines and batteries are built from nonrenewable materials, which wear out. Building one wind turbine requires 900 tons of steel, 2,500 tons of concrete and 45 tons of non-recyclable plastic. Solar power requires even more cement, steel and glass—not to mention other metals. Global silver and indium mining will jump 250% and 1,200% respectively over the next couple of decades to provide the materials necessary to build the number of solar panels, World demand for rare-earth elements will rise 300% to 1,000% by 2050 to meet the Paris green goals. Building enough wind turbines to supply half the world’s electricity would require nearly two billion tons of coal to produce the concrete and steel, along with two billion barrels of oil to make the composite blades.
 
If electric vehicles replace conventional cars, demand for cobalt and lithium, will rise more than 20-fold. A battery for an electric car weighs 1,000 pounds and requires digging, moving and processing 500,000 pounds of raw materials
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/if-you-want-renewable-energy-get-ready-to-dig/>

 

2019-07-22

 

Cities Facing Climate Change: To Sue or Not to Sue?

As cities around the world-particularly coastal ones - take a hard look at the costs of climate change, Vancouver’s council is debating asking fossil fuel companies to pay a share. The motion would direct Vancouver’s mayor to write a letter to the world’s largest fossil fuel companies- those “with the highest percentage of greenhouse gas emissions”-asking them to be “accountable for their share of climate emergency costs.”  West Coast Environmental Law, the organizer of the letter-writing campaign, has a list of 20 of those fossil fuel companies, none of which are based in Canada.

However, Victoria Mayor Lisa Helps asks: “Why spend time suing fossil fuel companies? If the tobacco lawsuits are any indication, it’s going to take 20 years just to officially get to court … I just think small local governments taking on Big Oil is not the most practical way of fighting climate change.”

<https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/dan-fumano-to-sue-or-not-to-sue-a-question-for-cities-facing-climate-change>
 

EU Destroys 700,000 Hectares of Rainforest for Biofuels

In order to save the climate with supposedly green biofuels, the EU has deemed palm oil “sustainable.” Last year 1.9 million tonnes of palm oil were added to diesel fuel in the EU-in addition to millions of tons of equally harmful rapeseed and soybean oils. The plantations needed to satisfy Europes's demand for palm oil cover an area of 700,000 hectares – land that until recently was still rainforest and the habitat of 5,000 endangered orangutans. Despite the clear-cutting, the EU has classified palm oil as sustainably produced.
This policy has now blown up in the legislators’ faces, with scientists confirming what environmentalists and development experts have long asserted: biofuels help neither people nor the environment – and they are most certainly not climate-neutral, as even studies commissioned by the EU show. Biodiesel from palm and soybean oil, but also from European-grown rapeseed, has a larger carbon footprint than diesel from fossil sources.

<https://www.rainforest-rescue.org/petitions/908/eu-destroys-700000-hectares-of-rainforest-for-biofuels#more>
 

Leaked IPCC Report Warns of Clash between Bioenergy and Food

The IPCC is preparing a special report titled: Climate Change, Desertification, Land Degradation, Sustainable Land Management, Food Security, and Greenhouse Gas Fluxes in Terrestrial Ecosystems. The report is intended to be coherent with, and complementary to, other IPCC reports, such as the Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C, that was issued last October.  A draft of the new report’s Summary of Policymakers got leaked, and one of its main conclusions is that blanketing the globe with  monocultures of forests and bioenergy crops will be no panacea to fix the “climate crisis.” In fact, hunger is likely to be worsened by competing food production with space for biofuels.

<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/17/leaked-un-science-report-warns-clash-bioenergy-food/>
<https://drive.google.com/file/d/11fJPbJdtRLElzTKO6vjP6pCJWT0MZaZK/view>
 

Growing Frustration over the UN’s Consensus Model

During technical climate talks concluded in Bonn on June 27, Saudi Arabia and other oil-producing states blocked the IPCC’s report on the effects of 1.5°C vs. 2°C of warming from being included in formal UN climate negotiations. One European diplomat described “a toxic political atmosphere” during the Bonn talks. “We need to be smart about how we use the UN space for political gains to drive ambition … and not that [a] lack of consensus halts the whole system”.

Former head of UN Climate Change between 2006 and 2010, Yvo de Boer vented his outrage on Twitter that “a totalitarian, murderous, sexist regime can exploit consensus rules to block the consideration of science.” He added: “Does everyone need to be in consensus on everything or can you split topics more logically into smaller groups?”

Therefore, UN chief António Guterres is looking elsewhere for energy and action. He called on young people to lead a green revolution, at a preparatory meeting in Abu Dhabi for his September climate summit.

<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/05/row-1-5c-science-raises-frustration-un-consensus-model/>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/06/27/un-report-1-5c-blocked-climate-talks-saudi-arabia-disputes-science/>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/05/climate-weekly-no-time-consensus/>
 

Bidding for the Top EU Job

The German nominee for European Commission president has strengthened her climate ambition to win parliamentary backing from socialists and liberals. Ursula von der Leyen was chosen by the European Council (heads of government of the EU’s member states), but needed confirmation by the European Parliament. Initially Ms. von der Leyen backed a 50% cut in EU emissions by 2030. When that failed to impress, she promised that by 2021, her commission would put together “a comprehensive plan” to increase the goal to 55% “in a responsible way.”

The 55% promise was just enough, as Ms. von der Leyen scraped a 383-327 majority in the parliament on July 16. The Greens, which make up the fourth largest bloc, remain unconvinced by her offer, and want to see what Europe officially puts on the table when the Paris Agreement starts in December 2020.

<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/15/von-der-leyen-offers-55-co2-cuts-2030-bid-eu-top-job/>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/16/climate-plays-decisive-role-ursula-von-der-leyen-annointed-eu-chief/>
<https://www.euractiv.com/section/climate-strategy-2050/news/von-der-leyen-pressed-to-deliver-on-climate-after-winning-eu-vote/>
 

No “Greta Effect” as Lufthansa Reports Rise in Passengers

German airline Lufthansa expects passenger numbers to rise about four per cent this year, its chief executive said yesterday, playing down talk that public support for teenage climate activist Greta Thunberg might be curbing air travel. At this time, we don’t see restraint – in fact, the opposite,” Carsten Spohr told the NZZ Am Sonntag newspaper. “In comparison to last year, already a record year, we’re expecting passenger growth of about four per cent, [Lufthansa unit] Swiss International Air Lines is also showing growth. The discussion of climate change is not leading to restraint with bookings. People want to fly.”

<https://www.thegwpf.com/lufthansa-sees-no-greta-effect-as-passenger-numbers-show-rise/>
 

Are Electric Cars Really Green?

According to a study directed by Christoph Buchal of the University of Cologne, published by the Ifo Institute in Munich last week, electric vehicles have "significantly higher CO2 emissions than diesel cars." That is due to the significant amount of energy used in the mining and processing of lithium, cobalt, and manganese, which are critical raw materials for the production of electric car batteries.

A battery pack for a Tesla Model 3 emits 11 to 15 tonnes of CO2. Each battery pack has a lifespan of approximately ten years and total mileage of 94,000, would mean 73 to 98 grams of CO2 per kilometre (116 to 156 grams of CO2 per mile), Dr. Buchal said. Add to this the CO2 emissions of the electricity from power plants that power such vehicles, and the actual Tesla emissions could be between 156 to 180 grams of CO2 per kilometre (249 and 289 grams of CO2 per mile). German researchers criticized the fact that EU legislation classifies electric cars as zero-emission cars; they call it a deception because electric cars, like the Model 3, with all the factors, included, produce more emissions than diesel vehicles by Mercedes.

<https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-04-21/new-study-shocks-electric-cars-considerably-worse-climate-diesel-cars>
<https://www.brusselstimes.com/all-news/business/technology/55602/electric-vehicles-emit-more-co2-than-diesel-ones-german-study-shows/>
 

Educating Kids to Debate Climate Change

Science and public policy analyst Dr. David Wojick has launched an important new project to challenge “climate literacy”-code for the false belief that humans are causing dangerous climate change. Dr. Wojick’s Climate Change Debate Education Project (CCDE) provides two kinds of educational materials. One is skeptical videos by leading scientist (e.g.,       William Happer, Patrick Michaels, Roy Spencer, Richard Lindzen). There are now 193 videos, and the goal is to have 1,000.

The second is what’s called “gate breakers,” one-page, nontechnical summaries that explain a particular issue in the scientific debate about climate change. There are three gate breakers on the CCDE website, addressing hurricanes, the Little Ice Age and the sun’s role in global warming and climate change. More are on the way.

<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/07/08/educating-kids-to-debate-alarming-climate-claims/>
<http://ccdedu.blogspot.com>
 

CEI Files Complaint against NASA’s Claim of 97% Scientific Consensus

The Competitive Enterprise Institute petitioned NASA to remove from its website the claim that 975 of climate scientists agree humans are responsible for global warming. The petition, filed under the Information Quality Act, points out the major flaws in the studies cited by NASA to substantiate its claim. It requests the agency remove the claim from its website and stop circulating it in agency materials. CEI asserts that there are flaws in the 97% claim, including: (a) Incorrectly categorizing scientists who take “no-position”; (b) Failing to include relevant sources without explanation; (c) Failing to match the terms used as the basis for a study to the claim actually made by NASA.

<https://www.thegwpf.com/cei-files-formal-complaint-regarding-nasas-claim-of-97-climate-scientist-agreement-on-global-warming/>
 

Hundreds of Extinction UK Rebellion Activists to Face Court

Following the Extinction Rebellion marches that brought London to a standstill in April, the city’s Metropolitan Police plan to charge more than one thousand climate campaigners with public order offences. As of July 11, 180 of the 1,151 arrested in April had been charged with breaching the Public Order Act and/or obstructing the highway. In order to speed up the process the public prosecution service is considering trying ten people at a time.

<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/07/15/hundreds-extinction-rebellion-activists-face-court-summer-prosecutions/>

 

2019-07-03

 

Is There an “Existential Crisis” and “Climate Emergency”?

There is widespread belief that unless “something is done”, the world will go through an “existential crisis” because of climate change. As a result, several initiatives calling for drastic cuts in greenhouse gas emissions are gaining traction. Gautam Kalghatgi, a professor of mechanical engineering at Oxford, answers this question with facts to conclude that there is no empirical evidence of an existential threat, and the world is a far better place in nearly all countries than in the past. He then answers questions about decarbonizing economies by 2025 or 2030, the impact of local sacrifices on climate change, convincing vulnerable children like Greta Thunberg that they don’t have much of a future, campaigning organizations like Extinction Rebellion. and whether the developing world can move their populations out of poverty through wind and solar (they can’t).

<https://www.thegwpf.com/gautam-kalghatgi-is-there-an-existential-crisis-and-a-climate-emergency-can-the-world-be-carbon-neutral-by-2030/>
 

Ross McKitrick: Extreme Weather Rhetoric and the Climate Mob

Dr. McKitrick uses quotes from the IPCC’s latest assessment report (AR5) counter current “climate emergency” rhetoric. Topics of these quotes include: flooding; droughts; precipitation; extreme precipitation, and tornado trends.

He also refers to an op-ed he published on June 7 telling the story of how Roger Pielke Jr. was vilified and bullied by the climate mob for climate research that didn’t support alarmist slogans. When Conservative MP Lisa Raitt tweeted a link to the op-ed she was bullied into deleting her tweet. Dr. McKitrick then wrote a “Dear Lisa” open letter, hoping that she would notice the pattern: legions of self-appointed “fact checkers” will ignore the most deranged exaggerations by politicians if they serve the cause of alarmism, but will aggressively pile on any attempts to bring evidence into the discussion.

<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/ross-mckitrick-apocalyptic-rhetoric-about-extreme-weather-keeps-ramping-up-but-experts-say-theres-no-emergency>
<https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2017/09/WG1AR5_Chapter02_FINAL.pdf>
<https://www.rossmckitrick.com/uploads/4/8/0/8/4808045/dear_lisa.pdf>


Theresa May Introduces “Net Zero” Emissions Target for UK

The UK government introduced legislation to cut greenhouse gas emissions to “net zero” by 2050, despite warnings that meeting the target could cost £1trillion. Meeting the target would mean an end to heating homes with gas and a switch from traditional vehicles to EVs. The Prime Minister’s office said the move would boost public health, air quality and nature and will make the UK a leader on climate action, as the first G7 group of major economies to put a net zero target into law.

In the Conservative Woman, Andrew Montford questions whether there was any meaningful analysis behind the £1trillion.figure and laments that the political establishment in united on the idea that “net zero” is the way forward. He finds it hard to imagine a more complete dereliction of political duty than a decision to attempt a megalomaniac project like this without even considering the costs and benefits. Bjørn Lomborg also weighs in on the issue, pointing out that achieving the target would zero impact on the climate and is simply a vanity project doomed to fail.

<https://www.thegwpf.com/theresa-may-introduces-net-zero-emissions-target-despite-warnings-it-will-cost-1trillion/>
<https://www.conservativewoman.co.uk/the-cost-of-this-net-zero-madness-even-a-trillion-is-an-underestimate/?utm_source=TCW+Daily+Email&utm_campaign=a8fa3125b3-RSS_DAILY_EMAIL&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_a63cca1cc5-a8fa3125b3-559868745>
<https://www.lomborg.com/news/theresa-may-is-about-to-spend-ps1-trillion-on-a-pointless-policy-this-climate-madness-has-to>
 

EU Fails to Set 2050 Emissions Target

At a heads of government meeting on June 20, a group of central and eastern European countries (Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Estonia) vetoed a proposal to cut EU emissions to “net zero” by 2050. A net zero target would have meant that almost all emissions have to be cut. Fossil fuels would need to be phased out, diesel and gasoline cars replaces with electric vehicles, and meat consumption slashed. Emissions that could not be completely eliminated would have needed to be offset, for example by planting more trees that take CO2 out of the atmosphere.

Europe's current goal is to cut emissions by at least 40% by 2030. Several countries, the European Parliament and the European Commission have been pushing for even tougher targets. The June 20 summit was the last chance to set a goal before the global climate talks in September where UN negotiators hope to secure pledges to limit warming to 1.5°C.

<https://edition.cnn.com/2019/06/20/europe/eu-net-zero-emission-intl/index.html?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=7d42970759-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_06_21_01_59&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-7d42970759-20168513>
<https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-eu-summit-climate-change/ambitious-2050-climate-goal-relegated-to-footnote-at-eu-summit-idUKKCN1TL21M?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=7d42970759-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_06_21_01_59&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-7d42970759-20168513>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/06/21/eu-stumble-weakens-global-drive-climate-ambition/>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/06/21/eu-climate-deal-fails-amid-four-nation-revolt/>


Why Ireland is “Nowhere Near” Meeting Its Climate Goals

Despite the country’s taoiseach Leo Varadkar claiming that he wants Ireland to “become a global leader on climate action” and declaration of a “climate emergency,” Ireland is expected miss its EU emissions-reduction target for 2020 by the widest margin. It will fall short of the 2030 goal as well. Carbon Brief answers the question why. It’s because missions from agriculture will continue growing steadily for the next decade (⅔ of all land is devoted to agriculture), and those from transport will rise until at least 2022. Coal and peat still play a key role in the country’s emission profile, and the population is widely dispersed, relying on oil-fired boilers for heating.

The Irish carbon tax is currently €20 per tonne of CO2 (in addition to the EU ETS, which applies to power stations and industrial plants). However, the tax is controversial, and fuel poverty is an important issue. In its 2019 budget the government decided not to raise the tax.

<https://www.carbonbrief.org/in-depth-qa-why-ireland-is-nowhere-near-meeting-its-climate-change-goals>


Climate Activists Protest against the New York Times

The New York Times’ coverage of climate change hasn’t been extensive or strident enough for the activists at Extinction Rebellion. So the group organized a protest blocking Eighth Avenue in New York on June 22, resulting in 70 arrests. According to a member of Extinction Rebellion’s press and fundraising teams, “The lack of coverage of the climate crisis is completely unacceptable … It’s a public safety crisis on a global scale.” Protestors unfurled a banner outside the NYT’s headquarters encouraging the paper to use the phrase “climate emergency” instead of “climate change”.

A spokeswoman for the NYT tried to reassure its readers, noting that the paper ran 795 climate articles in 2018 and stating: “There is no national news organization that devotes more time, staff or resources to producing deeply reported coverage to help readers understand climate change than The New York Times.

<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/06/24/70-arrested-as-climate-activists-riot-against-new-york-times/>
<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jun/22/new-york-times-protest-climate-crisis-coverage>
 

On the Promise of “Green Jobs”

One of the biggest selling points for renewable energy is the promise of “green jobs.” For example, the Center for American Progress predicts that a federal “investment” of $800 billion/year towards cutting CO2 emissions to zero would create 6.8 million new jobs. However, 325 million Americans already have full access to energy for all their needs without having to spend $800 billion more each year. Thus, the CAP proposal is that the same number of people would be paying an additional $800 billion/year for the same energy, or $2,500 per capita ($10,000 per family.) Since the median American family income is $60,000, cutting CO2 emissions to zero would reduce their income by 16%.

At the Minnesota-based Center of the American Experiment, economist John Phelan did an analysis of what the arrival of “green” energy has meant for that state: via the magic of huge government subsidies and handouts, very large numbers of new well-paid people strive to produce the very same electricity that was previously produced by a small fraction of the number of people. Using 2017 statistics the power output per worker was 16,281 MWh (gas), 13,230 MWh (coal), 5,665 MWh (wind), and 157 MWh (solar). In other words, it takes 2-3 times as many wind power workers to produce the same amount of electricity as gas or coal, and 100 times as many for solar.

<https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2019-6-12-on-the-promise-of-green-jobs>
<https://www.americanexperiment.org/2019/06/energy-industry-produce-energy-not-jobs/>
 

Patrick Moore: Global Warming, a “Fear Campaign” by Scientists Hooked on Government Grants

Mr. Moore, a Greenpeace founder, points out that governments through history have used fear to gain control of peoples’ minds and their wallets-and the climate catastrophe is strictly a fear campaign. The proponents of AGW also use “guilt,” that you’re killing your children by driving your SUV. Most of the scientists pushing the catastrophic theory are getting paid with public money. The supposed 97% “scientific consensus” is “… the biggest lie since people thought the Earth was at the center of the universe.” In other words, the climate threat is the biggest threat to the Enlightenment since Galileo.

<http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/global_warming_a_fear_campaign_by_scientists_hooked_on_government_grants_gr/>
 

The Futility of Western Decarbonization

BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy, issued in June, includes data on CO2 emissions from 1965 to the end of 2018. Having been relatively stable for seven years, global emissions rose ~2% in 2018. However, the contrast between Developed and Developing worlds remains stark: Developing world emissions overtook Developed world CO2 emissions in 2005; since 1990 CO2 emissions from the Developed world have decreased, whereas the Developing world has shown a fourfold increase since 1985; CO2 emissions in the Developing world are accelerating as the quality of the lives for people are progressively improving.

In October 2010 Professor Richard Muller made clear the dilemma for all those who hope to control global warming by reducing emissions, particularly by means of CO2 reductions from Western Nations:  in essence he said:  “… the Developing World is not joining-in with CO2 emission reductions nor should it have any intention of doing so.  The failure of worldwide action negates the unilateral action of any individual Western Nation”.

<https://www.thegwpf.com/the-futility-of-western-de-carbonisation/>
<https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy.html>
 

New Study Shows Climate Models Not Even Close To Be Useful For Policymaking

A new paper appeared in the journal Atmospheric Research titled: Climate classifications from regional and global climate models: Performances for present climate estimates and expected changes in the future at high spatial resolution. The study concludes, “The modelling of precipitation remains the Achilles’ heel of models and thus of multidimensional indices, which are very sensitive to this variable.” Since just about every major climate index is related to precipitation, if the models can’t get precipitation right then everything else will be wrong. “Nonetheless”, the authors write, “the role of models as privileged tools to advance our scientific knowledge of the Earth’s system remains undisputed.”

<https://notrickszone.com/2019/06/08/new-study-shows-climate-models-not-even-close-to-be-useful-for-policymaking-precipitation-remains-the-achilles-heel/>

 

2019-06-11

 

In Canada It’s Now a “Climate Emergency”

In late May the Trudeau government introduced into the House of Commons a motion to declare a “climate emergency” in Canada to draw even more attention to its policy governing carbon-dioxide pricing and taxation. Retired energy economist Robert Lyman’s article in the Financial Post describes how CO2 pricing in Canada departs from the theoretically ideal models embraced by economists, because it is simply added to over 600 existing federal, provincial and territorial programs and regulations. This we cannot know the effects on consumers and industry as the levies vary considerably across the country. 
 
According to a Toronto City News report Justin Trudeau says the federal carbon tax will help deal with extreme weather events such as fires in northern Alberta.  “Extreme weather events are extraordinarily expensive for Canadians, our communities and our economy,” he said, citing the recent tornadoes in Ottawa and wildfires in Western Canada. “That’s why we need to act.” In a Global Warming Policy Foundation article, Ross McKitrick says the evidence paints a different story, describing how heavily-funded left wing groups and politicians conducted a smear campaign against Roger Pielke Jr., who found convincing evidence that climate change was not leading to higher rates of weather-related damages worldwide. 
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/trudeaus-climate-emergency-meets-his-national-muddle-of-malfunctioning-carbon-taxes>
<https://toronto.citynews.ca/2019/06/04/trudeau-says-carbon-tax-can-help-deal-with-extreme-weather-alberta-fires/>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/this-scientist-proved-climate-change-isnt-causing-extreme-weather-so-politicians-attacked/>
<https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/987052536883376128.html>
 

Analyzing the Future: The Tug of War between Politics and Economics

According to Friends of Science consultant Robert Lyman predicting the future has always been a perilous and uncertain activity. For example, BP Energy Outlook 2019 edition analyzes possible global energy supply, demand and CO2-equivalent emissions trends to 2040, presenting four alternative scenarios of the future-Evolving Transition (ET), More Energy (ME), Less Globalization (LG) and Rapid Transition (RT). The report notes that, in 2040 fossil fuels still constitute 78% of global primary energy consumption, coal consumption remains essentially flat for the next 20 years, and renewable energy grows from 4% to 15% over that period. In the ET scenario CO2 emissions increase, from 33.4 billion tonnes in 2017 to 36 billion tonnes in 2040, all of it in developing countries. 
 
Mr. Lyman concludes that BP faced the threat of exposing itself to abuse by AGW adherents and so focused most of its analysis and commentary on the ET scenario. It included an “outlier” extrapolation of present trends (ME) and two higher emission scenarios (LG and RT), the latter coming close to a “Green New Deal.” Other prestigious forecasters, such as the International Energy Agency, the US Energy Information Administration and Exxon will be updating their forecasts in the coming months, and it will be interesting to see how they accommodate or resist the politicization of energy supply and demand analysis.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/analyzing-the-future-the-tug-of-war-between-politics-and-economics/>
<https://blog.friendsofscience.org/2019/05/29/analyzing-the-future-the-tug-of-war-between-politics-and-economics/>
<https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/energy-outlook/bp-energy-outlook-2019.pdf>
 

No, Alberta Didn’t Scrap Its Carbon Tax

On May 30 the new Alberta government made good on its vow to “scrap the job-killing carbon tax” by removing the the tax from certain fuels used daily by many individuals and businesses. However, the province will continue to levy a tax on more emissions than any other province: specifically, a $30/t charge on nearly 140 million tonnes of greenhouse-gas emissions from the province’s largest emitters, including oil-sands projects, power generators, petrochemical facilities and more. This represents half of Alberta’s emissions and one-fifth of Canada’s total.
 
<https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-jason-kenney-is-not-really-the-carbon-tax-killer-he-claims-to-be/>
 

Forget Paris: EU Member States Plan to Stick with Coal beyond 2030

Two environmental NGOs have published a report, Just Transition or Just Talk?, revealing that, out of 21 EU countries that still use coal, only ten are committed to phasing it out by 2030, despite the remainder having receiving EU funds to transition away from coal. One of the key EU tools to fulfill commitments made under the Paris Agreement are National Energy and Climate Plans submitted by each member state. These plans cover climate and energy objectives, targets, policies and measures for the period from 2021 to 2030. 
 
The 11 countries still planning to use coal-fired power in 2030 are (in order of increasing installed capacity) are: Spain, Hungary, Croatia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Germany and Poland.
 
<https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/ngos-criticise-eu-member-states-receiving-energy-transition-funds-without-plan-exit-coal?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=2a7e1c17cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_30_03_02&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-2a7e1c17cf-20168513>
<http://www.caneurope.org/docman/coal-phase-out/3545-just-transition-or-just-talk/file>
 

Court Allows PG&E to Renegotiate $34 Billion in Renewable Contracts

A bankruptcy court ruled that Pacific Gas & Electric can proceed to renegotiate $42 billion dollars in costly energy power purchase contract commitments including many renewable energy contracts. These contracts include firms such as NextEra Energy Inc., Consolidated Edison Inc. and Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
 
The US government’s production tax credit, in an effort to promote renewable energy, currently pay 1.9¢/kWh for the first 10 years of a wind farm’s operations, has been extended several times by Congress. It is scheduled to begin phasing out at the end of 2019. The biggest recipient of PTC largesse is NextEra Energy, the nation’s largest wind power producer, with approximately 10,000 wind turbines and annual revenues of $17.5 billion. More than $5.7 billion in taxpayer dollars flowed to NextEra Energy courtesy of the PTC between 2007 and 2016, making NextEra “one of the most subsidized Fortune 500 companies.”
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/06/11/pge-wins-court-case-allowing-it-to-renegotiate-34-billion-in-renewable-energy-contracts/>
 

Environmentalism: About Achieving World Government

According to Tim Ball the environmental movement began as a basis for a socialist world government in the last 1960s with people like Maurice Strong and fellow members of the Club of Rome. A small group at Standford University chose April 22, 1970 as the first Earth Day, to coincide with the birthday of Vladimir Lenin. The underlying theme of the movement is: (a) Almost all change is a result of human activity; (b) Humans and unnatural; (c) We are not part of nature, but a blight on the face of the earth; (d) We should be eliminated or reduced in number; (e) If the Western world reduces CO2 emissions the rest of the world will follow. 
 
As Dr. Ball states: “We now know 50 years later that every single prediction concerning the environmental demise of the Earth and the people made in the original Earth Day Report was wrong. We also know that every additional claim, such as overpopulation, global warming, sea level rise, desertification, deforestation, and sea ice collapse, among many others, were wrong.”
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/05/27/environmentalism-evidence-shows-it-was-always-and-only-about-achieving-world-government/>
 

Judith Curry on Climate Scientists’ “Apocalyptic Predictions”

Dutch investigative journalist Marijn Poels recently interviewed Dr. Curry in a 17-minute video. In the interview she claims that climate scientists have been acting “overconfident” and have been ignoring too many unknowns and all the uncertainty which the science is fraught with. Pressure from policymakers to focus on man-made climate change made them too reliant on climate models that don’t include natural effects. The IPCC’s “business as usual” scenario (also known as RCP 8.5) is completely unrealistic. The apocalyptic predictions of the IPCC depend on unrealistic emissions scenarios and climate model simulations. There is a lot of overwrought hysteria blaming everything seen about the climate and weather on CO2 emissions. 
 
For Dr. Curry the most important possible climate event in the 21st century would be the West Antarctic ice sheet, which sits on a range of subsea volcanoes and is affected by ocean currents. If this sheet broke off and melted, it could add a metre to the sea level. 
 
<https://notrickszone.com/2019/05/24/climatologist-dr-judith-curry-climate-scientists-apocalyptic-predictions-depend-on-unrealistic-climate-model-simulations/>
 

Study: 100% Renewables Doesn’t Equal Zero-CO2 Energy

A new Stanford study, Why 100% Renewable Energy is Not Enough, finds that to guarantee 100% emissions reductions from renewable energy, power consumption needs to be matched with renewable energy generations on an hourly basis. Just purchasing more solar energy in a grid that already has lots of solar generation will not result in zero emissions.
 
Corporations that claim to be 100%renewable do not actually cover all their power use with renewables, as some acknowledge. Instead, they purchase or generate enough renewable energy to match 100% or more of their electricity use over the course of the year. For energy purchases dominated by solar power, an entity generates far more electricity than it uses during the afternoon and sells the excess. Then at nighttime it purchases power from the grid, which is much more carbon-intensive if generated by burning of fossil fuels.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/06/09/study-100-renewables-doesnt-equal-zero-carbon-energy/>
<https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(19)30214-4>
 

World’s Largest Companies See $1 Trillion Hit in Climate Hysteria

More than 200 of the world’s largest listed companies forecast that climate change could cost them a combined total of almost $1 trillion, with much of the pain due in the next five years. However, as Joanne Nova points out, and supported by statistical plots, the projected losses come from broken climate models and are counter to past trends trends showing declining losses on a GDP basis.
 
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/06/climate-disasters-are-less-costly-less-deadly-and-corporate-warnings-are-just-hot-air/>

 

 2019-05-28

 

Ottawa Will Make Alberta Pay a Higher CO2 Tax than Quebec

If Alberta’s new government makes good on its pledge to repeal the province’s CO2 tax the federal government has promised to impose its “backstop” tax, currently $30/t of CO2. However, at this rate it would be 50% higher than the rate currently in place in Quebec as a result of its cap-and-trade system. This is because the price of Quebec’s cap-and-trade plan is linked to the price of permits sold on a market it shares with California, and where the California government deliberately oversupplies permits to keep prices low. Projections for prices on that market show permit prices rising to remain below $25/t by 2022, when the federal backstop is to reach $50/t. 
 
A study by the Canadian Taxpayers Federation reported by the National Post points out how the CO2 tax is applied unequally in different provinces. While Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and New Brunswick pay the backstop rate that adds 4.4¢/L of gasoline, Newfoundland and Prince Edward Island have offset their carbon taxes by cutting existing provincial gas taxes so that motorists there pay 0.42¢/L  more. 
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/ottawa-will-make-alberta-pay-a-higher-carbon-tax-than-quebecs-thats-unfair>
<https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/completely-inconsistent-carbon-taxes-applied-unequally-between-provinces-new-report-says>
 

Trump Administration Might “Re-Examine” Climate Modelling

Environmental activists and Scientific American are troubled by a statement by EPA Administrator Andrew Wheeler at a G-7 meeting hinting that the US might overhaul the way it uses climate data and modelling. The communiqué from the meeting included the following paragraph: “The United States reaffirms its commitment to re-examine comprehensive modelling that best reflects the actual state of climate science in order to inform its policy-making decisions, including comparing actual monitored climate data against the modelled climate trajectories on an on-going basis.”
 
Alden Meyer, director of policy and strategy at the Union of Concerned Scientists, and Luca Bergamaschi of the Britain-based E3G fear an attempt to undercut the IPCC’s report of last October on the impacts of 1.5°C of warming.
 
<https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/trump-administration-might-re-examine-climate-modeling/?redirect=1>
 

Germany Set to Miss Climate Goals by a Wide Margin

Germany is set to widely miss its greenhouse gas reduction targets for 2020 and 2030 unless significant steps, such as the proposed coal exit, are taken. The environment ministry’s new emissions forecast shows that the country must introduce additional climate action measures in all economic sectors to reach its goals. Germany also comes near bottom in an EU-wide analysis that showed that none of the 28 countries was on track to meet the 2030 target.
 
<https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/germany-miss-2030-climate-goal-wide-margin-without-action-across-economy?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=2ce5aa9597-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_16_03_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-2ce5aa9597-20168513>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/05/16/germany-miss-2030-climate-goal-without-economy-wide-changes/>
 

Australia’s Vote: No Climate for Change

Up until the vote, polls and betting markets in Australia predicted a Labor victory in the country’s May 18 general election, as journalists and intellectuals insisted that ordinary Aussies wanted their government to fight climate change and soak the rich. Labor pledged a 45% emissions reductions target and 50% renewables by 2030. However, the governing Liberal-National Coalition under Prime Minister Scott Morrison prevailed with a majority win. Mr. Morrison, famous for posing in Parliament holding a lump of coal, reminded voters that no renewable energy source is as efficient as carbon and that China’s annual emissions rise is greater than Australia’s total emissions each year.
 
Joanne Nova’s blog quotes a rueful commentator from the pro-AGW Australian Broadcasting Corporation: “Voters feared climate policy more than climate change.”
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/tom-switzer-australias-left-loses-an-election-it-was-sure-to-win/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=7f2fbebac2-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_20_03_13&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-7f2fbebac2-20168513>
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-australia-election-energy/in-coal-we-trust-australias-voters-back-pm-morrisons-faith-in-fossil-fuel-idUSKCN1SP06F?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=36305d877a-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_19_01_50&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-36305d877a-36424765>
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/05/how-to-lose-the-unloseable-election-be-anti-coal-how-the-climate-vote-evaporated/>
 

EU Split on Climate Change Measures

In November 2018, the European Commission published A Clean Planet for All, a long-term strategy document, which reiterated the bloc’s goal of being carbon neutral (net zero in human-caused emissions) by 2050. In March the European Council (EU heads of state or government plus council president and EC president) confirmed that the EU should submit a long-term strategy by 2020, but was split on whether to pursue an ambitious 2050 target. Specifically, Poland, Hungary and Slovakia are reluctant even to support already-agreed upon targets. The bloc’s largest economy, Germany, is facing divisions at the national level as it relies increasingly on natural gas.
 
<https://www.petroleum-economist.com/articles/low-carbon-energy/renewables/2019/eu-split-on-climate-change-measures?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=628a02b78b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_24_02_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-628a02b78b-36424765>
 

EU Court Throws Out Climate Lawsuit

Ten families and an indigenous group, backed by NGOs Protect the Planet and Climate Action Network Europe, filed the “People’s Climate Case” in May 2018, arguing the EU’s “inadequate” 2030 goal of 40% emissions cuts from 1990 levels threatened their human rights. The European General Court rejected the suit, ruling that “…the fact that the effects of climate change may be different for one person than they are for another does not mean that, for that reason, there exists standing to bring an action against a measure of general application.” The plaintiffs were ordered to pay the EU’s costs for this case, but plan to appeal to the European Court of Justice.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/05/22/european-court-throws-climate-lawsuit-saying-plaintiffs-not-unique/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=628a02b78b-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_24_02_04&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-628a02b78b-36424765>
 

It’s Cheaper to Talk than Cut Emissions

Reflecting on the emissions cuts promised, but mostly not delivered, since the 1992 Earth Summit, Bjørn Lomborg writes: “Political rhetoric is cheap, but drastic cuts in carbon dioxide emissions remain prohibitively expensive and technologically challenging.” Environmental protestors and several US presidential candidates are pushing for net zero emissions by 2050, but the cost of doing so would be far higher than any electorate is willing to pay.
 
While Americans are willing to pay $200/year, the figure in China is $30/year, and Britons are unwilling to cut their driving, flying and meat consumption. After protests by the “Yellow Vests” France climate goal has turned into an empty promise. Achieving net-zero emissions wouldn’t just cost a little more than people are willing to pay, but an order of magnitude more. 
 
The costs of deep emissions cuts are so high because we are all utterly reliant on fossil fuels. Green-energy alternatives, including solar and wind, are generally not ready to compete. Declaring a “climate emergency” generates headlines and makes politicians and activists feel better. But empty rhetoric that ignores economic reality and common sense will not help the planet.
 
<https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/climate-change-emissions-rhetoric-reality-by-bjorn-lomborg-2019-05>
 

The Cliff-Falling Walruses: The Making of a Video Icon

Susan Crockford exposes the manipulation of fact behind the controversial walrus story promoted in the Netflix documentary film series, Our Planet, that was released early last month. In the Netflix film Sir David Attenborough blames a scene showing walruses bouncing off rocks as they fall from a high cliff on climate change. The WWF used the film sequence to suggest that the walrus was “the new symbol of climate change”.
 
Dr. Crockford says that much of what Sir David told viewers is a fabrication. Massive haulouts of walruses in late summer or fall is a well-documented feature of population health, not evidence of global warming.

 <https://www.thegwpf.com/netflix-attenborough-and-cliff-falling-walruses-the-making-of-a-false-climate-icon/>

 

WWF Support for Sterilization Programs and “Shoot on sight” Uncovered

An investigation by Dutch TV revealed the WWF’s involvement in sterilization programs for women living around national parks. The investigation has also uncovered evidence that WWF personnel were not only aware of the existence of a shoot on sight policy in India, which used the phrase “kill the unwanted,” but made no attempt to change it.
 
<https://www.survivalinternational.org/news/12142>
 

A Million Species Facing Extinction?

On May 6 the UN’s Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) issued a media release claiming that one million species are threatened with extinction due to human activities causing habitat loss. In her blog Joanne Nova debunks the scare, pointing out that the one-million figure is estimated from unverified models that count species that haven’t been discovered yet. Ms. Nova’s solution to the problem is cheap energy and spare wealth.
 
The Spectator did some digging and found that the species information came from the UN press release and accompanying summary for policymakers, concluding that we are supposed to take the IPBES figure on faith. Donna Laframnoise’s blog No Frakking Consensus points out that the IPBES is following the IPCC’s template in this case: the scientists write a report and a draft summary; then politicians and bureaucrats representing national governments attend a plenary meeting to go over the draft summary line by line and rewrite it; finally the scientists go back and change the underlying report to agree with the revised summary. 
 
<https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/un-global-biodiversity-report-1.5124089>
<https://www.ipbes.net/news/Media-Release-Global-Assessment>
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/05/a-million-species-face-extinction-time-to-burn-fossil-fuels-to-save-them/>
<https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/05/the-uns-extinction-warning-doesnt-add-up/>
<https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2019/05/06/ipcc-clone-predicts-doom/>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/skeptics-blast-u-n-warning-of-mass-species-extinction/>

 

2019-05-07

 

 Canada’s Extra Carbon Taxes

Ottawa has repeatedly drilled into Canadians that carbon taxes, rather than regulations, are the most efficient, least costly and entirely revenue-neutral solution to fighting climate change. However, alongside its new carbon taxes, Ottawa is also unleashing a host of new carbon-fighting regulations, covering such things as methane, coal and all other fossil fuels as well as costly energy efficiency programs and even buying CO2 emission offsets-so called “hot air”-from other countries. But the most significant of these is the federal government’s upcoming Clean Fuel Standard-a minefield of hidden costs, new regulatory burdens, inter-government duplication and bureaucratic uncertainty.
 
Under the proposed Clean Fuel Standard, all firms that produce or import liquid, gaseous or solid fuel in Canada will have to reduce the carbon intensity of their product by 11% come 2030: either by blending in lower carbon alternatives (such as ethanol into gasoline), changing their processes or switching to renewable energy. They can also buy credits from other firms to cover their obligations. This can be expensive. While Ottawa’s direct carbon tax is set to rise to $50 per tonne by 2022, the future cost of a Clean Fuel Standard credit is estimated at between $150/tonne and $180/tonne. A report by Navius Research pegs the ultimate impact of the Clean Fuel Standard on gas prices at about 5¢ per litre, or slightly more than Ottawa’s carbon tax just added at the pump. Diesel will rise by 7.5¢/L. Natural gas is also rising. But Canadian families will not get a “climate action incentive” to compensate them for these hidden increases.
 
<https://nationalpost.com/opinion/the-extra-carbon-taxes-the-liberals-arent-talking-much-about>
 

Don’t Blame Population Growth for Pollution Problems

In a refreshing change for a mainstream publication like the Globe and Mail, two academics challenge the assumption that environmental impact is correlated with both population  growth and economic development. Instead they argue that widespread use of fossil fuels has enabled humanity to grow and has played a positive public-health and environmental role in the past two centuries. They even point out how increased atmospheric CO2 has led to greater plant growth and agricultural productivity. In fact, population growth means more better-educated people to contribute to global well-being.
 
<https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-dont-blame-population-growth-for-our-pollution-problems/>
 

Skeptical Scientist Hijacks US Congressional Hearing

Climate statistician Dr. Caleb Rossiter from the CO2 Coalition hijacked the the House Oversight Committee Environment subcommittee hearing on “The Public Effects” of climate change by declaring that “CO2 emissions have had a positive and modest impact on Americans’ health.” Dr. Rossiter described the CO2 Coalition’s mission as: “We save the people of the planet from people who think they are saving the planet.” He used some of the IPCC’s own words and data to show that decadal rates of drought, storms, flooding,  hurricanes, cyclones, tornadoes, and the rate of sea-level rise have not registered any statistically significant change during the recent period of warming that was partially induced by CO2.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/05/01/skeptical-scientist-hijacks-aoc-congressional-climate-hearing/>
<http://co2coalition.org/2019/04/30/testimony-of-caleb-s-rossiter-ph-d-before-the-subcommittee-on-the-environment-of-the-house-committee-on-oversight-and-reform/>
 

Britain Asked to “End Contribution to Global Warming”

Climate Home News cheers a report by the UK’s Committee on Climate Change calling for legislation to set a path to net-zero emissions across the economy. The goal is to achieve net zero by 2050, which the CCC says would lead the world and mobilize ambition in other countries.
 
The Global Warming Policy Forum calls the net-zero target by 2050 “grounded in nothing stronger than irresponsible optimism and arbitrary assumptions about cost and technological feasibility,” adding “In point of fact, the technologies seen as necessary, including carbon capture and sequestration, further expansion of renewable generation, widespread adoption of hydrogen, and the very rapid electrification of the UK’s entire heating and transport systems, are either known failures or are unproven at these scales and would cost two to three times the amounts claimed by the CCC.”
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/05/02/britain-home-industrial-revolution-end-contribution-global-warming/>
 <https://www.thegwpf.com/gwpf-statement-on-the-proposed-net-zero-2050-emissions-target/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=9e084050fb-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_05_02_10_35_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-9e084050fb-36424765>
 

Germany’s Dirty Green Cars

A study presented on April 24 in Munich concludes that, when CO2 emissions linked to the production of batteries and the German energy mix, electric vehicles emit 11% to 28% more CO2 than their diesel counterparts. Mining and processing the lithium, cobalt and manganese used for batteries consume a lot of energy. A Tesla Model 3 battery, for example, represents between 11 and 15 tonnes of CO2. Given a lifetime of 10 years and an annual travel distance of 15,000 kilometres, this translates into 73 to 98 grams of CO2 per kilometre.
 
<http://brusselstimes.com/business/technology/15050/electric-vehicles-emit-more-co2-than-diesel-ones,-german-study-shows?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=a85949d29e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_04_24_01_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-a85949d29e-20168513>
 
<http://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/presse/Pressemitteilungen/Pressemitteilungen-Archiv/2019/Q2/pm_20190417_sd08-Elektroautos.html>
 

German Power Prices to Keep Skyrocketing in 2019

According to the online business daily Handelsblatt, German electricity are set to get significantly more expensive in 2019 due to the power grid becoming 8& more expensive to use. This will make already painfully high electricity prices even more excruciating. In Germany, electricity prices of around 30 euro cents per kilowatt hour for private consumers are among the most expensive worldwide, and are in fact “the highest in Europe” Handelsblatt reports.
 
<https://notrickszone.com/2019/04/16/german-power-prices-set-to-keep-skyrocketing-in-2019-due-to-50-billion-euros-annually-in-grid-and-feed-in-levies/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=a85949d29e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_04_24_01_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-a85949d29e-20168513>
 

How Radical Green Propaganda Relies On Tragedy Porn

“Tragedy porn” is now a standard green propaganda technique. First of all you need a victim. Animals – preferably fluffy ones, and preferably with large eyes – are ideal, but people will do at a pinch. Then you have to film them in the process of dying or otherwise suffering. A presenter or scientist needs to be on hand to describe the events, preferably choking away their tears. Then you blame global warming.
 
This scenario proved to be the undoing of Sir David Attenborough, when on Netflix a carefully contrived story that global warming was driving walruses over cliff tops unravelled over the course of a week, as a series of flaws were discovered in the narrative and in the tales spun by the production team as they attempted to cover up what they had done. Zoologist Susan Crockford led the pushback saying that the massive gatherings of walruses on the rocky beach, known as haulouts, have been recorded for nearly a century. As Dr. Crockford put it, “Sir David’s story about climate change appears to be just that — a fable.”
 
<https://reaction.life/david-attenborough-dead-bats-radical-green-propaganda-relies-tragedy-porn/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=a85949d29e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_04_24_01_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-a85949d29e-20168513>
 
<https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/apr/22/netflix-our-planet-hit-climate-change-walrus-cliff/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=a85949d29e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_04_24_01_17&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-a85949d29e-20168513>
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/netflix-is-lying-about-those-falling-walruses-its-another-tragedy-porn-climate-hoax>
 

The Cult of Greta Thunberg and the Extinction Rebellion

Ms. Thunberg is a wildly celebrated 16-year-old Swede who founded the climate strike movement for school kids. In a monotone voice and look of apocalyptic dread in her eyes, she talks of the great “fire” that will punish us for our eco-sins. Climate-change alarmism is becoming ever stranger, borderline religious, obsessed with doomsday prophecies. For example, the Extinction Rebellion marches in London were at times indistinguishable from old fundamentalist movements that warned mankind of the coming End of Days.
 
Climate Home News sees both Ms. Thunberg and the Extinction Rebellion as necessary to keep the Paris Agreement alive, by mobilizing citizens to demand action by foot-dragging governments for the next round of national emissions pledges due in 2020.
 
<https://www.spiked-online.com/2019/04/22/the-cult-of-greta-thunberg/>

<https://www.spiked-online.com/2019/04/19/extinction-rebellion-the-new-millenarian-cult/>

<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/04/24/paris-agreement-always-needed-extinction-rebellion-greta-thunberg/>

 

Rebranding Climate Change

Since the expressions “global warming” and “climate change” do not frighten people enough, activists are proposing a shift in language to “climate crisis” or “environmental collapse,” with the help of advertising consultants. A company called SPARK Neuro used EEG devices and webcams to gauge the reactions of volunteers to various terms associated with climate change. “Global warming” and “climate change” performed the worst, beaten hands down by “climate crisis,” “environmental destruction,” “weather destabilization,” and “environmental collapse.”
 
According the the CEO of SPARK Neuro “global warming” and “climate change” are both neutral phrases, and people have gotten used to them, so they no longer pack a punch.
 
<https://climatechangedispatch.com/global-warming-rebrand-climate-crisis/>

 

2019-04-21

 

Fraud: Trudeau Uses Photo of Wind Turbine-caused Fire to Support His Carbon Tax

Prime Minister Trudeau recently tweeted an article with a photo of last summer’s Parry Sound #33 fire in an effort to fear-monger Canadians into supporting his carbon tax. This fire was in fact caused by a construction project on a wind turbine. The text of Mr. Trudeau’s tweet: “This is why we need #ClimateAction NOW, & a price on pollution is a key part of that. Our kids and grandkids are counting on us.”
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/04/07/fraud-trudeau-uses-photo-of-forest-fire-caused-by-wind-turbine-construction-project-to-sell-his-carbon-tax-scam/>
 

Canada’s Carbon Tax Will Kill People

Last month, the National Bureau of Economic Research released a dramatic working paper. Its conclusion: when US home heating costs fell, fewer people died. That price decline, the report says: “… caused a 1.6% decrease in the winter mortality rate for households using natural gas for heating.” Only 58% of American households heat with natural gas, so the drop in the death rate for the US population as a whole over a full calendar year works out to about half a percentage point.
 
In Canada, Enbridge, the company which supplies natural gas to Ontario homes, says it needs to raise the price it charges households by 11% just to pay for the new federally-imposed carbon tax. Extrapolating from the US numbers, 1,100 Canadians will die unnecessarily next winter. And the winter after that. And the one after that. As the size of the carbon tax increases, the number of annual victims may well rise in tandem.
 
<https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2019/04/08/canadas-carbon-tax-will-kill-people/>
 

CO2 Removal Worries Climate Campaigners

British Columbia-based Carbon Engineering, boosted by $68 million invested by Chevron, Occidental and goal giant BHP, has shown that it can extract CO2 in a cost-effective way, at less than $100/tonne. But climate campaigners are worried that the technology will be used to extract even more oil. "It's a huge concern," Tzeporah Berman, international programme director for Stand dot earth, told BBC News, adding “We need to be working together to figure out how we move away completely from fossil fuel - that's our moral and economic challenge but these technologies provide a false hope that we can continue to depend on fossil fuels and produce and burn them, and technology will fix it - we are way past that point.”
 
<https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-47638586>
 

US Senate Votes Down Green New Deal: 57-0

The Senate roundly rejected Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s Green New Deal [FoS Extracts - 2019-02-24] as expected on March 26 with not a single senator voting “yes” for the progressive star’s signature policy initiative. The final vote was 57 “nays” and 43 “present” from the 43 Democratic senators taking part.
 
In the House, Rep. Ocasio-Cortez responded angrily to a Republican congressman who called the Green New Deal “elitist.”
 
<https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6853499/Senate-votes-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortezs-Green-New-Deal-57-0.html>
<https://nypost.com/2019/03/27/ocasio-cortez-flips-out-after-congressman-calls-green-new-deal-elitist/?utm_source=zergnet.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=zergnet_3943794>
 

After 25 Years of Failure, We Should Abandon the UNFCCC

March 21 marked the 25th anniversary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Patricia Espinosa, executive secretary of the UNFCCC put out a statement noting 25 years of enormous progress and the potential of the Paris Agreement to finally achieve results in bringing down emissions.
 
Climate Home News, in a gloomy editorial, disagrees with Ms. Espinosa on both points. The UNFCCC’s objective was to stabilize CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere, but these have risen from 358 ppm in 1994 to 412 ppm in 2018. Despite the Kyoto protocol and the Cancun and Paris agreements, together with hundreds of climate-related decisions, GHG emissions are 60% above 1994 levels. Today there is doubt over the survival of a weak Paris agreement that leaves all countries on  their own to mitigate, adapt and pay for the costs of climate impacts. The UNFCCC is now simply a platform to collect, synthesize and disseminate information.
 
As a result, Climate Home News advocates curtailing efforts at the UNFCCC and creating multiple sectoral and regional platforms to drive transformation. Since climate change is too important an issue to be left to governments alone, there has to be concrete actions from the private sector.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/03/27/25-years-failure-abandon-unfccc/>
<https://unfccc.int/news/unfccc-25th-anniversary-climate-action-is-more-urgent-than-ever>
 

UNFCCC Seeks 26% Budget Increase

The UN climate body needs 26% more money to meet its core commitments in 2020 and 2021, according to a draft budget presented to government officials. The ask for extra funding from member states comes amid pressure from countries like the US and Brazil to rein in UN spending. These countries are €2.9 million ($3.3m) and €1.6m ($1.8m) behind on their expected contributions to the UN climate process, respectively, although both made payments in 2018.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/03/27/un-climate-body-bids-26-core-budget-increase/>
 

US Judge Tosses Kids’ Lawsuit against Trump Climate Policies

Rejecting a claim by Philadelphia-based Clean Air Council and attorneys representing two Pennsylvania school boys that people have a constitutionally guaranteed due process right to a “life-sustaining climate,” a federal judge has dismissed a bizarre legal case challenging the Trump administration’s climate policies. The case dates to November 2017 when the two boys, aged 7 and 11 at the time, attributed their respective ailments, severe allergies and asthma, to Trump administration policies rolling back Obama-era climate initiatives. The trial judge showed little patience with plaintiffs willing to clog up an already overburdened court system with an issue that was best dealt with outside the judicial sphere. 
 
The judge also took the extraordinary step of rebuking the US District Court of Oregon for its ruling in Juliana v. United States, which involves 21 children suing the federal government over climate change [See Friends of Science Newsletter of March 2019 - Political Developments].
 
<https://www.cfact.org/2019/04/01/judge-tosses-kids-lawsuit-against-trump-climate-policies/>
< https://friendsofscience.org/assets/documents/2019_March_Newsletter.pdf>
 

Europe’s Climate Policy: A Disaster in the Making

Investment bank UBS, in a report entitled “CO2 compliance in EU – a disaster in the making?” said PSA Group of France faces a 25% hit to its profits and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA) will lose 20%. BMW, Mercedes parent Daimler and Renault of France are less vulnerable. The EU regulations express fuel consumption in terms of grams of CO2 emitted per kilometre. The trouble is, the EU’s regulations to curb fuel consumption assume electric cars will be available to take up the slack. That is not a foregone conclusion. Manufacturers worry that after spending massive amounts of money investing in electric cars, buyers will shun them on grounds of price and utility.
 
In a related story rating agency Moodys says that carmakers may be hit with fines of €2.4-11.2 billion for failing to meet EU emission targets in two years time. By 2021, manufacturers’ average car will need to emit a maximum of 95 grams of CO2 per kilometre, versus 118.5 g/km in 2017. 
 
<https://www.forbes.com/sites/neilwinton/2019/04/04/eu-fuel-economy-rule-violations-could-cost-manufacturers-big/#675cd9a57892>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/04/04/carmakers-face-2-12bn-fines-missing-eu-co2-targets-moodys/>
 

New Study: Poverty and Lower Incomes Linked to Renewables

An empirical analysis using 2005-2015 data from 15 EU countries indicates that as more renewable energies (i.e., solar PV) are deployed, energy costs increase, household poverty risks rise, and incomes decline. As the paper’s abstract states: “This paper proves that both income and risk of household poverty are directly linked with renewable energies, in both the short- and long-run.”
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/new-study-poverty-and-lower-incomes-directly-linked-to-renewables/>
<https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0360544218325738>
 

IEA Asked to Stop Normalizing Dangerous Climate Change

According to 60 business leaders, scientists and investors the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook report [FoS Extracts - 2019-03-26] is “normalizing” a dangerous climate future. The group sent a letter to the IEA’s head to “make clearer that [its] business-as-usual scenario… charts a dangerous course to a world with between 2.7°C and 3°C of warming.” The WEO report typically leads its sections with more prominent discussion of the New Policy Scenario, or business-as-usual case. The letter’s authors asked that the IEA bring the Sustainable Development Scenario in line with 1.5°C of warming and the section be made the report’s central reference.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/04/03/global-energy-agency-asked-stop-normalising-dangerous-climate-change/>

 

2019-03-26

 

Last Chance for Tickets to Friends of Science Event

April 2 is the deadline for tickets to Polar Bears and Solar Flares, featuring two speakers. Researcher and author Dr. Susan Crockford’s topic is Polar Bears: Too Hot to Handle, about how a thriving species like the polar bear came to be classified as ‘threatened’ with extinction based on untested computer models. Astrophysicist Dr. Willie Soon will discuss The Sun Also Warms, a probe of the long history in the quest to understand Sun-climate connections.
<https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/polar-bears-and-solar-flares-tickets-55741082077>
 

How Foreign-backed Anti-oil Activists Infiltrated Canada’s Government

The story begins in 2008, when a group of radical American anti-fossil-fuel NGOs created their “Tar Sands Campaign Strategy 2.1” designed explicitly “to landlock the Canadian oil sands by delaying or blocking the expansion or development of key pipelines.” The Rockefeller Foundation, the Hewlett Foundation, and the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, along with environmentalist charities, poured hundreds of millions of dollars into the US-based Tides Foundation, a murky organization that provides cover as a legal laundering service that can funnel donations into activist groups, without revealing the source.
 
But the campaigners received a bonus beyond their wildest dreams when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau appointed one of their most dedicated eco-warriors, Gerald Butts (formerly president and CEO of WWF Canada, a Tides campaign partner) as his principal secretary. Mr. Butts used his new powerful position to bring other former campaigners with him: Marlo Raynolds, chief of staff to Environment Minister Catherine McKenna, is past executive director of the Tides-backed Pembina Institute. Zoë Caron, chief of staff to the minister for natural resources, is also a former WWF Canada official. Sarah Goodman, on the prime minister’s staff, is a former vice-president of Tides Canada. With these anti-oil activists at the epicentre of federal power, it’s no wonder the oil industry, and hundreds of thousands of workers, have plummeted into political and policy purgatory.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/03/16/gwyn-morgan-talk-about-collusion-how-foreign-backed-anti-oil-activists-infiltrated-canadas-government/>
<http://www.offsettingresistance.ca/TarSandsCoalition-StrategyPaper2008.pdf>
 

Congestion Forecast for COP25 in Santiago

This year’s UN climate conference is set for December 2-13 in Santiago, Chile. However, December will be a “highly congested” month in Santiago, so Chilean environment minister Carolina Schmidt pleaded with the UN to move the event into January. For example, the only venue with space enough for the COP is privately owned and already booked for other events. Holding it in December will mean splitting the COP between two venues, with an hour commute between them. Nevertheless, the UNFCCC refused the minister’s request, so the party will go ahead as scheduled.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/03/15/chile-warns-3-hour-commutes-split-venue-december-climate-talks/>
<https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/message%20to%20parties%20and%20observer%20organizations_dates%20of%20cop%2025_web.pdf
 

IEA: CO2 Emissions Hit a Record High

The International Energy Agency reports that emissions from fossil fuel use hit a record in 2018 as world energy demand grew at its fastest pace (2.3%) in a decade. This reflects higher oil consumption in the US and more coal burning in India and China. “Renewables growth is not keeping pace with the electrification of our society,” said IEA executive director Fatih Birol. “We need to see more support for renewables.”
 
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-26/record-carbon-emissions-seen-as-energy-use-grew-most-in-decade?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=0674c7a223-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_03_26_01_27&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-0674c7a223-20168513>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/global-economy-growth-rise-in-co2-emissions/>
 

Report: Green Energy Economy is Simply “Impossible”

The Manhattan Institute has issued a report called The “New Energy Economy”: An Exercise in Magical Thinking, that concludes that there is simply no possibility that the world is undergoing-or can undergo-a near-term transition to a “new energy economy.” This “new energy economy” rests on the belief-a centerpiece of the Green New Deal and other similar proposals both here and in Europe-that the technologies of wind and solar power and battery storage are undergoing the kind of disruption experienced in computing and communications, dramatically lowering costs and increasing efficiency. But this core analogy glosses over profound differences, grounded in physics, between systems that produce energy and those that produce information.
 
In the world of people, cars, planes, and factories, increases in consumption, speed, or carrying capacity cause hardware to expand, not shrink. The energy needed to move a ton of people, heat a ton of steel or silicon, or grow a ton of food is determined by properties of nature whose boundaries are set by laws of gravity, inertia, friction, mass, and thermodynamics-not clever software.
 
Scientists have yet to discover, and entrepreneurs have yet to invent, anything as remarkable as hydrocarbons in terms of the combination of low-cost, high-energy density, stability, safety, and portability. The era of 10-fold gains in solar and wind power technologies is over.
 
The annual output of Tesla’s Gigafactory, the world’s largest battery factory, could store three minutes’ worth of annual US electricity demand. It would require 1,000 years of production to make enough batteries for two days’ worth of US electricity demand. Meanwhile, 50-100 pounds of materials are mined, moved, and processed for every pound of battery produced.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/report-green-energy-economy-is-simply-impossible/>
<https://media4.manhattan-institute.org/sites/default/files/R-0319-MM.pdf>
 

Overheating about Global Warming

Bjørn Lomborg comments on the school students in rich countries, inspired by 16-year old Swedish activist Greta Thunberg, who have walked out of classrooms to call for action against climate change. He blames adults for frightening the children unnecessarily. Leading politicians and media have prioritized climate change. For example the New York Times ran a front page commentary on the issue titled: Time to Panic. This normalization of extreme language reflects decades of climate-change alarmism.
In the Western world, decades of climate-change exaggeration have produced frightened children, febrile headlines, and grand political promises that aren’t being delivered. We need a calmer approach that addresses climate change without scaring us needlessly and that pays heed to the many other challenges facing the planet.
 
<https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/climate-change-alarmism-scaring-children-by-bjorn-lomborg-2019-03>
 

Youth Climate Strikes: Motivation or Manipulation?

Kids are fast becoming the face of the climate change movement as teenagers, ‘tweens and even younger children file lawsuits, stage walkouts and lobby lawmakers. But newly released documents have raised questions about whether the students are being motivated or manipulated. A cache of emails released Wednesday on Climate Litigation Watch showed that top climate activists at the 2012 La Jolla strategy session sought to involve children in a legal and civil offensive against the fossil fuel industry, which would include worldwide marches from the “youth climate movement.”
Peter Frumhoff, director of science and policy for the Union of Concerned Scientists, said the group stands by the efforts at the La Jolla workshop, which created a blueprint for legal challenges to the fossil fuel industry based on the anti-tobacco litigation of the 1990s. Climate Depot’s Marc Morano said the emails show that “climate activists have long planned on using school kids to agitate for their fear campaign and regulatory ‘solutions.’”
 
<https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/mar/13/youth-climate-strike-sparks-debate-use-students-pr/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/03/13/emails-reveal-how-children-become-pawns-of-climate-alarmism/>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/on-climate-the-kids-are-all-wrong/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/03/15/an-open-letter-to-climatestrike-participants/>
<http://climatelitigationwatch.org/genesis-of-a-shakedown-new-records-expose-childrens-marches-as-long-planned-component-of-litigation-campaign/>
<https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2019/03/a-carefully-miseducated-generation-of-climate-warriors/>
<https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-14/politically-correct-teaching-to-blame-for-climate-change-strike/10897682>
 

Germany Kills Ambitious EU Climate Plan

On March 22 the EU released its summit statement, which does not include any 2050 climate commitment or target in what is a big win for Eastern European governments and their new German ally. Germany broke ranks with other countries, such as France, Spain, Sweden and the Netherlands which support a call by the European Commissions to meet a 2050 goal of “climate neutrality.” Poland, supported by Hungary and the Czech Republic, had been blocking the goal.
 
<https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/38789/22-euco-final-conclusions-en.pdf?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=af4f78f524-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_03_22_03_27&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-af4f78f524-20168513>
<https://www.forbes.com/sites/davekeating/2019/03/21/merkel-may-kill-ambitious-eu-climate-plan-tomorrow/?utm_source=CCNet%2BNewsletter&utm_campaign=af4f78f524-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_03_22_03_27&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-af4f78f524-20168513#524550d139dc>
<https://www.politico.eu/article/franco-german-alliance-splinters-over-climate-policy/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=af4f78f524-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_03_22_03_27&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-af4f78f524-20168513>
 

Green Killers: Congo’s Miners Dying To Feed World’s Hunger For Electric Cars

While electric car owners might feel smug about cutting carbon emissions, the dark side of the green revolution is that EVs depend on cobalt, 70% of which comes from the Democratic Republic of the Congo, one of the poorest, most violent and corrupt places on Earth. Known as creuseurs, or diggers, cobalt miners use no equipment more sophisticated than spades, shovels and plastic head torches as they burrow into the ground looking for the tell-tale blue veins of cobalt. Those who strike lucky fill sacks with the metallic grey sludge. “The conditions of mines are terrible,” said Josue Kashal, a lawyer for miners. “Any time a tunnel can collapse, but they keep going.” . Child labour is common and safety standards are non-existent.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/green-killers-congo-miners-dying-electric-cars/>
 

Roy Spencer: The Science of Climate Change Is Anything but Settled

On March 5, 58 senior military and national security leaders sent a letter to President Trump denouncing his plan to form a National Security Council panel to take a critical look at the science underpinning climate change claims. Their objections to such a Red Team effort were basically that the “science is settled.” If so, Dr. Spencer asks “… what are they afraid of? Wouldn’t a review of the science come to the same conclusion as the supposed consensus of climate scientists?” He continues: “In fact, a peer-reviewed paper published last year in the prestigious Journal of Climate found that the observed level of global warming since the late 1800s, including the deep oceans, was consistent with a climate system only half as sensitive as are the climate models guiding US energy and national security policy.”
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/03/16/dr-roy-spencer-the-science-of-climate-change-is-anything-but-settled/>
<https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/mar/13/what-are-the-opponents-of-donald-trumps-climate-re/>
 

Google “Vanishes” Patrick Moore from Greenpeace’s History

Mr. Moore’s role in co-founding Greenpeace became an embarrassment to the organization after he became publicly skeptical about the climate science “consensus.” In a scheme of historical revisionism reminiscent of Stalin’s famous “The Commissar Vanishes” photo editing, Google helped Greenpeace erase Mr. Moore’s photo and name from the “Founders of Greenpeace.”
 
<https://www.climatedepot.com/2019/03/16/tech-tyranny-google-promptly-vanishes-greenpeace-co-founder-dr-moore-from-enviro-groups-history-after-he-calls-climate-scare-fake-science/>
<https://twitter.com/thegwpfcom/status/1106928870073212929>
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/03/greenpeace-lies-to-save-the-planet-erasing-patrick-moore-again/>

 

2019-03-12

 

Climate Horrorscope-Modern Day Forms of Medieval Prognostation

Friends of Science’s Communication Manager Michelle Stirling compares the dire prognostications in The Augsburg Book of Miracles, written and compiled in ~1550 Europe in the midst of the Little Ice Age, with the climate predictions of modern-day prophets such as Al Gore, mainstream media, authors, climate scientists and child climate activists.
 
<https://www.cfact.org/2019/03/10/climate-horrorscope-modern-day-forms-of-medieval-prognostication/>
 

Collateral Damage in the WWF’s Secret War

The World Wide Fund for Nature has long helped fund and equip forest rangers who patrol against poachers in Nepal’s renowned Chitwan National Park. When three of the rangers were charged with murdering a Nepalese suspected of helping his son bury a rhino horn, the WWF swung into action by successfully lobbying the government to drop the case and then continued to work with the rangers-and then claimed that the case was a victory against poaching. This was no isolated incident. BuzzFeed News conducted a year long investigation across six countries, revealing a pattern that persists to this day.
 
In national parks across Asia and Africa, the beloved nonprofit with the cuddly panda logo funds, equips, and works directly with paramilitary forces that have been accused of beating, torturing, sexually assaulting, and murdering scores of people. As recently as 2017, forest rangers at a WWF-funded park in Cameroon tortured an 11-year-old boy in front of his parents, the family told BuzzFeed News. Their village submitted a complaint to WWF, but months later, the family said they still hadn’t heard back.
 
Parts 2 and 3 of the BuzzFeed News series detail how the WWF commissioned an internal review in 2015 implicating the charity in violence against indigenous people in Cameroon, and got the EU to fund a national park in the Republic of Congo over the objection of locals opposed to the park.
 
<https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/tomwarren/wwf-world-wide-fund-nature-parks-torture-death?bftwnews&utm_term=4ldqpgc#4ldqpgc>
<https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/katiejmbaker/wwf-report-human-rights-abuses-rangers>
<https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/katiejmbaker/wwf-eu-messok-dja-fears-repression-ecoguards>
 

Maine Becomes Most Recent State to Reject a Carbon Tax

On March 7 Maine’s House Committee on Energy Utilities and Technology voted against reporting a carbon tax bill out of committee. In a hearing on Bill 60 Maine residents testified in opposition and one in favour. Maine becomes the most recent blue state to reject a carbon tax. Legislation to impose a carbon tax has also been introduced in Vermont, Rhode Island, Hawaii, Oregon, and other states, but all have declined to implement one. Ballot measures to enact the nation’s first statewide carbon tax were rejected by Washington State voters in both 2016 and 2018.
 
<https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickgleason/2019/03/10/maine-becomes-the-most-recent-blue-state-to-reject-a-carbon-tax/?utm_source=CCNet%2BNewsletter&utm_campaign=4f71c60483-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_03_11_03_08&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-4f71c60483-36424765#71384ad72595>
 

Half of Europe No Longer Wants Wind Energy

Twelve countries in the EU failed to install “a single wind turbine” last year, moaned the CEO of industry body WindEurope on February 21. Giles Dickson said that while more and more people and businesses were benefiting from wind power, many things were “not right” beneath the surface. He added that growth in onshore wind fell by more than half in Germany last year and “collapsed in the UK”, stating that, in the EU, 2018 was “the worst year for new wind energy installations since 2011.”
 
<https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/21/wind-suffers-tough-year-in-europe-12-nations-failed-to-install-turbine.html>
 

Trillion-euro EU Climate Finance Pact

A group of experts has published a draft treaty for a sweeping European climate finance pact, to inject more than a trillion euros into the fight against global warming. The climate finance pact proposes two new tools to address global warming and social inequality: a green subsidiary of the European Investment Bank, to lend to member states, and a fund to disburse grants across Europe, the Mediterranean and Africa. Under the proposal, the bank subsidiary would provide concessional loans for climate projects to each EU member state worth up to 2% of their GDP. That amounts to €65 billion in Germany’s case or €45 billion for France.
 
A 2017 report by the European Court of Auditors calculated that the bloc would need to invest €1,115 billion a year between 2021 and 2030 into the transport, buildings, services, energy and industrial sectors, for the bloc to meet its 2030 climate targets.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/02/25/french-experts-propose-trillion-euro-eu-climate-finance-pact/>
 

Senator Feinstein Upsets the Climate Lobby

Veteran US Senator Dianne Feinstein got herself in hot water with climate activists when, on February 22, she clashed with a group of children by criticizing the kids’ request to back the Green New Deal [FoS Extracts - 2019-02-24]. The California Democrat argues that the GND policy is unworkable, saying “… there’s no way to pay for it” and “That resolution will not pass the Senate, and you can take that back to whoever sent you here.” Sen. Feinstein proposes to achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 through regulation and carbon taxes, rather than the GND’s radical ten-year plan.
 
Sen. Feinstein’s reply was too much for the New Republic, which says that the senator is a bigger threat to the left’s goal of slowing climate change than Donald Trump.
 
<https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/22/politics/feinstein-video-sunrise-movement-kids/index.html>
<https://newrepublic.com/article/153152/dianne-feinstein-bigger-climate-threat-trump>
 

California’s San Bernardino County Stops Big Solar Projects

California's largest county has banned the construction of large solar and wind farms on more than 1 million acres of private land, bending to the will of residents who say they don’t want renewable energy projects industrializing their rural desert communities northeast of Los Angeles. State lawmakers passed a bill last year requiring utility companies to get 60% of their electricity from renewable sources by 2030, and 100% from climate-friendly sources by 2045. But achieving those goals will require cooperation from local governments — and big solar and wind farms, like many infrastructure projects, are often unpopular at the local level.
<https://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-san-bernardino-solar-renewable-energy-20190228-story.html
 

Green Lawyers Target Toilet Paper

The Natural Resources Defense Council and Stand.earth issued a report The Issue with Tissue: How Americans Are Flushing Forests Down the Toilet. The report argues that products such as toilet paper, paper towels and facial tissues, while cheap and convenient, are made from wood pulp, with “devastating” consequences for Indigenous Peoples, wildlife and the global climate. Instead of wood pulp the report advocates using recycled fibres.
 
Donna Laframboise’s blog NoFrakkingConsensus, however, points to this report as part of a decades-long war against the forestry industry conducted by “parasite lawyers.” She notes that it costs money to collect, sort, bleach, and sanitize material from residential recycling programs, and these use massive amounts of fossil-fuelled energy and water. The lawyers’ goal is to coerce manufacturers to into making toilet paper with ever higher amounts of recycled paper (due to government-imposed mandates), thus forcing everyone to pay more.
 
<https://www.nrdc.org/sites/default/files/issue-tissue-how-americans-are-flushing-forests-down-toilet-report.pdf>
<https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2019/02/25/parasite-green-lawyers-target-toilet-paper/>
 

Climate Science’s Myth Buster

City Journal interviewed Judith Curry, who gave up her post as head of the the department of earth and atmospheric sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology because “Independence of mind and climatology have become incompatible.” Dr. Curry points out that climate models can’t explain the 1910-1940 warming (similar to the current warming, but with much less CO2 emissions) nor the 1950-1970 cooling. There had to be natural factors at work. She is skeptical of environmental treaties like the Paris Accord, which-if the climate models are correct and all states respect their commitments-will reduce 2100 temperatures by an insignificant 0.2°C. Dr. Curry recommends research be diversified to study of the natural causes of climate change and not focus so obsessively on the human factor. Also, instead of wasting time on futile treaties and in sterile quarrels, we would do better to prepare ourselves for the consequences of climate change, whether it’s warming or something else.
 
<https://www.city-journal.org/global-warming>

 

2019-02-24

 

Susan Crockford: Polar Bear Lecture in April at Friends of Science Event

The title of Dr. Crockford’s lecture, on April 10 in Calgary is Polar Bears: Too Hot to Handle. Also at the event is astrophysicist Willie Soon whose  talk is titled: The Sun Also Warms. Just prior to the event, Dr. Crockford will be launching her new book, The Polar Bear Catastrophe that Never Happened.
 
<https://polarbearscience.com/2019/02/03/polar-bear-lecture-in-calgary-coming-up-in-april-book-friends-of-science-event-now/>
 

BC Government Putting Alternative Energy on Ice

Dozens of solar, wind and run-of-river power projects have been indefinitely suspended by the British Columbia government in an effort to manage the cost of electricity from independent power producers. The government’s Clean BC program calls for massive electrification of home, industry and transportation with aggressive emission reduction targets for 2030. By 2040 every car sold in BC must be zero emissions, while every home is to be zero-energy ready by 2032.
 
However, BC Hydro, the province’s electric utility predicts that it will have a surplus supply until the early 2030s, while Clean Energy BC forecasts electricity demand increasing 50% by 2030. On February 14 BC Hydro suspended its Standing Offer for independent power producers, stalling about 250 alternative energy projects and causing consternation at Clean Energy BC.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/02/15/b-c-government-putting-alternative-energy-sector-on-ice/>
<https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/b-c-government-putting-alternative-energy-sector-on-ice>
 

The White House’s Climate Security Panel

The White House is considering establishing a presidential committee to assess the consensus of scientists and the Pentagon that climate change poses a national security threat. The move, being spearheaded by William Happer, a physicist and National Security Council senior director who has touted the benefits of carbon dioxide emissions, could give climate skeptics a platform to push back against conclusions reached by Pentagon and other agencies within President Trump’s own administration that climate change is a major national security threat.
 
<https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-02-20/-climate-security-panel-may-give-white-house-skeptics-new-voice?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/white-house-readies-panel-to-assess-if-climate-change-poses-a-national-security-threat/>
 

Bill Gates Slams Unreliable Wind and Solar

Mr. Gates, a true believer in the climate change scare, gave an interview at Stanford University during which he scoffed at the notion that wind and solar power, together with battery back-up, could ever replace conventional electricity generation. He quoted Vaclav Smil who said: “Here’s Tokyo, 27 million people, you have three days of a cyclone every year. It’s 23 GW of electricity for three days. Tell me what battery solution is going sit there and provide that power.” He pointed out that electricity is responsible for only 25% of greenhouse gas emissions and asks how steel is going to be manufactured without them, as well products such as plastics, fertilizers and cement, as well as air travel. There is no substitute for how the industrial economy runs today.
 
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/02/gates-on-renewables-how-would-tokyo-survive-a-3-day-typhoon-with-unreliable-energy/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=f739b48694-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_18_04_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-f739b48694-20168513>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/peter-foster-bill-gates-defying-the-climate-barons-tells-the-ugly-truth-about-renewables/>
 

The Green New Deal

On February 7 congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and senator Ed Markey presented an outline of a sweeping federal program aiming at decarbonizing the US economy, known as the Green New Deal. The GND, a non-binding resolution, calls for getting all US energy needs by 2030 from “clean, renewable, and zero-emission energy sources” by “dramatically expanding and upgrading existing renewable power sources.” It also includes a variety of social justice and welfare state goals, including “a family-sustaining wage, adequate family and medical leave, paid vacations and retirement security” and “high-quality health care” benefits for Americans.
 
The text of the GND is less than 14 pages. Ms. Ocasio-Cortez’ office released six pages of FAQs that quickly became the subject of ridicule and were withdrawn, but preserved by NPR. The GND would be paid for, not by taxes, but by a massive expansion of credit by the Fed and “new public banks.” 
 
In a piece published by the Global Warming Policy Forum, Robert Lyman, a former director-general of environmental affairs at Transport Canada, explains why a timeframe of 50 to 70 years would be needed to manage the GND’s proposed energy transition. A story in The New American describes an interview with Greenpeace co-founder Patrick Moore wherein he calls the GND a recipe for mass suicide, adding “Why would anyone vote for something that was going to result in the death of nearly all humans on Earth?” 
 
<https://dailycaller.com/2019/02/07/ocasio-cortez-green-new-deal-oppression/>
<http://2hiwrx1aljcd3ryc7x1vkkah.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Green-New-Deal-FINAL.pdf>
<https://apps.npr.org/documents/document.html?id=5729035-Green-New-Deal-FAQ>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/the-green-new-deals-toughest-transition-will-be-to-reality/>
<https://www.thenewamerican.com/tech/environment/item/31465-green-new-deal-would-kill-almost-everyone-warns-greenpeace-co-founder>
 

Judge Tosses Kids Climate Suit in Pennsylvania 

A federal judge in Pennsylvania dismissed a climate lawsuit brought by an environmental organization and two children against the federal government. The lawsuit, Clean Air Council v. United States, claimed that Trump administration rollbacks of environmental regulations and other “anti-science” decisions violate Constitutional rights and the public trust. The judge scoffed at what he interpreted as a request that he “supervise any actions the President and his appointees take that might touch on ‘the environment.’” 
 
The judge also rebuked another judge for her ruling in the Juliana v. United States case [FoS Extracts - 2019-01-03 and 2018-10-27] that the young plaintiffs had a Constitutional right to a livable climate, stating that her ruling is at odds with previous court decisions and “the Juliana Court certainly contravened or ignored longstanding authority.” 
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/02/22/judge-tosses-kids-climate-case-in-pennsylvania/>
 

EU Shelves Climate Concerns in US Trade Talks

The EU is preparing to negotiate two trade agreements with the US, contrary to pledges to only strike deals with countries committed to the Paris Agreement. A committee of the European Parliament on February 19 endorsed opening talks. Adopted by 21 votes to 17, the resolution by the committee for international trade empowers the European Commission to discuss two trade deals, respectively designed to lift tariffs and iron out bureaucratic hurdles between the two. It goes to a full parliamentary vote in mid-March.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/02/20/eu-committee-shelves-climate-concerns-open-us-trade-talks/>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/eu-ready-to-give-up-climate-pledge-for-us-trade-deal/>
 

EU Commission Report Reveals Competitive Disadvantage of Climate Policies

The third release of the EU Commission’s periodic study of global electricity and gas prices for the first time compares the EU 28 with the whole of the G20 for the period 2008 to 2016. EU 28 household electricity prices are now more than double those in the G20, while industrial  electricity prices are now nearly 50% higher. The only G20 states with higher industrial electricity prices are those with heavy commitments to renewables.
 
The authors attribute the high electricity prices in the EU 28 to the “tax regime”, by which of course is meant energy and climate policies, where the EU is out of step with the rest of the world. As the authors themselves gloomily comment: “Whilst a convergence in tax rates may occur if other G20 countries implement similar fiscal measures as the EU as part of their climate mitigation policies, there is as yet little evidence that this is the case” (p. 16). So much for the “leadership” exhibited by the EU; no one is following that lead or seems likely to do so.
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/eu-commission-study-reveals-international-competitive-disadvantage-of-climate-policies/>
<https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/energy_prices_and_costs_-final_report-v12.3.pdf>
 

Australia: The Renewable Energy Superstar

Three academics at Australian National University have published a paper showing that, per capita, Australia is installing unreliable generators in a blitzkrieg pace, more than twice as fast as Germany is, and 4-5 times as fast  per capita than the EU, the US, Japan and China. The largest coal exporter in the world is working harder than anyone to destroy its largest export earner. According to the experts at ANU the net cost of adding renewables is zero (ignoring the subsidies, the extra transmission lines, the blackouts and the emergency demand management.)
 
However, as Joanne Nova points out Australians have the most expensive electricity in the world, for a reason. 
 
<http://joannenova.com.au/2019/02/australians-destroying-their-grid-faster-than-any-country-on-earth/>
<http://re100.eng.anu.edu.au/publications/assets/100renewables.pdf>
 

Response to Manifesto by 3,400 Belgian Academics

On February 10 more than 3,400 academics from across Belgium published an open letter to the federal and regional governments, backing the call from school and university students for better and more rapid government action to mitigate the effects of climate change.The Climate Intelligence Foundation has prepared a rebuttal to the seven assertions made by a the academics. Among the assertions is that almost 100% of the observed warming is human caused and that CO2 is the cause of it.
 
<http://www.brusselstimes.com/rss-feed/13920/more-than-3-000-academics-write-to-government-the-climate-activists-are-right>
<http://notrickszone.com/2019/02/02/climate-foundation-calls-belgian-manifesto-by-3400-academics-alarmist-unacademic-and-even-refuted-by-ipcc/>
<https://www.thegwpf.com/dutch-climate-intelligence-foundation-challenges-belgian-climate-alarmists/>
 

Behind Climate-Change Activist Greta Thunberg’s Rise to Fame

Less than a year ago Ms. Thunberg was an unknown schoolgirl in Sweden. Last August she came into the public eye with her decision to stage a “school strike” to draw attention to climate change. This led to appearances at the UN climate conference in Poland and most recently in Davos. At the latter event her message to the billionaires was: “I want you to panic” about climate change. 
 
However, her sudden appearance in the limelight has led to some pointed questions: is Ms. Thunberg’s celebrity status less to do with chance and more to do with a carefully orchestrated public relations campaign? It turns out that her school strike was timed to coincide with the launch of a book about climate change written by her mother. The book’s PR man has recently launched a business called “We Don’t Have Time”, a sort of climate-focused PR agency. 
 
<https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/02/whats-behind-climate-change-activist-greta-thunbergs-remarkable-rise-to-fame/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=77eb1ef5ff-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_13_10_44&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-77eb1ef5ff-20168513>

 

2019-02-06

 

Hothouse Earth? “Advertorials” in Science 

Friends of Science’s Communication Manager Michelle Stirling responds to an oft-cited climate-change story in Slate that refers to a “Hothouse Earth” paper  in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (the paper is actually titled: Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene). As Ms. Stirling points out, the International Union of Geological Sciences, the body that issues the stratigraphic charts and names epochs, doesn’t include the term “Anthropocene”.  However the Hothouse authors still plowed ahead with this term, using repetitive hot, tipping-point, hyperbolic language throughout a scientific paper.
 
The IUGS tweeted that the term “Anthropocene” has more meaning sociologically than stratigraphically.
 
<http://www.cfact.org/2019/01/30/hothouse-earth-advertorials-in-science/>
 

Carbon Credits Could Cost Canadian Taxpayers Billions 

The Trudeau government’s national carbon price alone will not achieve the 192 Mt reduction in greenhouse gas emissions promised in the Paris Agreement (2030 commitment = 512 Mt; 2016 emissions = 704 Mt.) To help meet its target the government is considering buying international carbon credits to offset its shortfall. On the California carbon market, where the current price is $C20/t the 192 Mt reduction would cost Canadian taxpayers $3.84 billion/year. If Canada agrees to the UN’s recommendation of a more stringent 45% reduction below 2010 levels by 2030, we would have to cut emissions by 322 Mt (to 382 Mt). That would cost $6.44 billion annually.
 
<https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/goldstein-carbon-credits-could-cost-canadian-taxpayers-billions>
<https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/canada/>
 

IBC Exaggerated Insurance “Climate Risks” 

The Insurance Bureau of Canada has waged a decade-long campaign to raise alarms about the ravages of floods. Blair Feltmate, a favourite star climate-change witness for the biggest insurers, heads the industry-funded Intact Centre on Climate Adaptation at Waterloo University, which claims that climate change has triggered a surge in flood events in recent years. At a recent public meeting Mr. Feltmate said: “The elephant in the room, from a climate-change perspective, is… too much water in the wrong places.”
 
The real elephant sharing the room turned out to be a detailed report from Guy Gendron, a CBC/Radio Canada International ombudsman, outlining how such distorted flood claims led the news network to publish stories last fall that contained “inaccurate and irrelevant” information. Last September Mr. Feltmate was interviewed by the CBC’s English-language Radio Canada International arm, promoting the insurance industry’s sensational new report that claimed bad weather and flood events are soaring due to climate change.
 
An Ontario municipal engineer complained to the CBC ombudsman, pointing to flaws in Mr. Feltmate’s and the insurance lobby group’s claims. He alleged that the CBC report misrepresented science and insurance risks. In his review of the complaint, the ombudsman delivered a scathing critique of the CBC coverage on its Radio Canada International site, saying that the CBC report had “failed to comply with journalistic standards” in assessing and reporting on the industry’s claims.
 
On January 29 the CBC published corrections to its reports. saying: “Certain statements relating to rainfall amounts and the so-called 100-year events deemed to be inaccurate or irrelevant to the story have been removed and/or replaced. Information from Environment Canada has been added to indicate their statistics show no increase in rainfall or extreme rain events beyond ‘normal’ variations …”
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/terence-corcoran-cbc-admits-it-wrongly-reported-hyped-up-insurance-climate-risks>
<http://www.rcinet.ca/en/2019/01/30/how-to-mitigate-the-effects-and-flood-damage-from-climate-change/>
 

Decline in GDP-Adjusted Global Catastrophic Losses over the Past 25 Years

When MunichRe and other insurers disseminate statistical loss figures they do so in absolute terms, without accounting for the growth in total gross domestic product. A new study by Roger Pielke, published in the journal Environmental Hazards, finds that since 1990 both overall and weather/climate losses have decreased as proportion of global GDP since 1990. 
 
<http://notrickszone.com/2019/01/23/surprise-decline-in-gdp-adjusted-global-catastrophe-losses-over-past-25-years-violent-tornadoes-trending-downward/>
<https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/17477891.2018.1540343>
 

Media Climate Hype

As a mid-winter freeze hits the Great Plains and the Midwest of the US, many in the media are rushing to blame the deep freeze on global warming, The New York Times filled the top of its website with coverage of the Midwest’s polar plunge, including one prominent article that claims record heat in Australia and record cold in the US were two sides of the global warming coin. “Also, broadly speaking, scientists say, a hotter planet makes extreme weather more frequent and more intense,” reads the Times article, warning we live in the “Age of Weather Extremes.”
 
The Chicago Times, Axios, The Washington Post and others echoed the theory that global warming was weakening the jet stream, allowing the “polar vortex” to meander south and bring record cold. Many experts don’t think this is correct and say it’s media climate-hype. In fact, weather events that used to be considered, well, weather are now attributed to global warming that’s supposed to play out over decades and measured in trends, not short-term weather variability.
 
“‘Climate change’ once referred to outcomes measured via statistics (‘detection’) tracked over decades,” University of Colorado professor Roger Pielke Jr. noted. “Today ‘climate change’ is most often used as a causal factor in attributing events over hours, days or weeks,” Dr. Pielke said. “We’ve become dumber.” Even Kevin Trenberth, a “mainstream” climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research said: “Frankly, it is a stretch to make that link … There is always cold air over the Arctic in the polar night and the question is whether it sits there or breaks out … So all this is in realm of weather. Not climate.”
 
<https://dailycaller.com/2019/01/29/polar-vortex-global-warming-disputed/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=f7f56536cd-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_31_04_26&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-f7f56536cd-20168513>
 

“Clean Energy Leader” PG&E Files for Bankruptcy

Pacific Gas & Electric, a distressed California utility facing claims of $30 billion resulting from the 2017 and 2018 wildfires, rejected last-minute rescue bids and decided for file for bankruptcy. PG&E used to boast that it and California led the nation in clean energy development. If only it had spent more money on maintaining its infrastructure than chasing green dreams.
 
A day after PG&E filed for bankruptcy protection a federal judge spent three hours excoriating the company for its role in the blazes that have ravaged Northern California over the past two years. PG&E is asking the court to allow it to potentially cancel $42 billion in power purchase contracts it signed over the past 15 years. The majority of these contracts commit PG&E to purchasing solar, wind or other renewable energy over terms of 15 to 20 years to meet California’s environmental goals.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/29/clean-energy-leader-pge-filing-bankruptcy-rejects-investor-bailout-massive-rate-hike-looms/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/31/quote-of-the-week-federal-judge-global-warming-is-not-starting-these-fires/>
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/30/uh-oh-california-solar-and-wind-projects-at-risk-due-to-pge-bankruptcy/>
<https://www.npr.org/2019/01/31/690371352/heres-how-pg-e-s-bankruptcy-might-hurt-california-s-ambitious-climate-goals?t=1549016082463>
 

Carbon Disclosure Project and PG&E

The PG&E collapse will likely ramp up the already intense demands by climate activists for companies to confess that their business models fail adequately to reflect climate risk. One of the most prominent promoters of the disclosure of emissions and climate programs is a London-based NGO named CDP (previously the Carbon Disclosure Project). CDP ranked PG&E as “A-“ in 2017 (the 2018 score is “forthcoming”). If this disclosure ritual was meant to assure investors that PG&E was a sound investment, they were misled.
 
Meanwhile, the last thing that PG&E’s stumble justifies is any redoubling of international climate conferences to conjure up more fake commitments. It is bordering on insanity to suggest that the way to deal with California wildfires is to force more solar panels on Burundi, windmills on Spain, or electric cars on China.
 
Canadian petroleum companies have lined up to be ranked by CDP, an organization that is part of an agenda to shut them down. In this year’s rankings, Husky and Suncor scored “B”s. Enbridge and TransCanada scored “C”s. CNR and Encana sat bottom of the class with “D”s. Still, one encouraging sign is that last year both Exxon Mobil and its Canadian subsidiary, Imperial Oil, stopped reporting. CDP ranks such refusal under “F,” for failure.
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/peter-foster-climate-activists-cheer-corporate-carbon-disclosures-and-regular-investors-get-burned>
 

Good News: The UN’s Global Green Law is Going Nowhere for Now

The first major meeting of the UN’s “Ad hoc Open-ended Working Group towards a Global Pact for the Environment” (OEWG) convened on January 14, 2019 at the United Nations Environment Program offices in Nairobi, Kenya. During the week-long session, delegates considered the report of the UN Secretary-General titled “Gaps in international environmental law and environment-related instruments: towards a global pact for the environment.” The object of the exercise was enact a binding set of new global laws that both encompasses and surpasses all of the existing multinational environmental treaties and agreements.
 
About 300 participants attended the meeting, including government delegates from many countries plus representatives of various international and UN organizations. The good news is that the meeting turned into something of a fiasco, as countries proved unwilling to surrender existing treaties and agreements. The US delegation questioned whether the “gaps” exist, saying that many are instead biased wishes.
 
The second of three OEWG meetings is now scheduled for March 18-20, 2019, again in Nairobi.
 
<http://www.cfact.org/2019/01/24/good-news-the-uns-global-green-law-is-going-nowhere-for-now/>
<http://enb.iisd.org/vol35/enb3501e.html>
 

“End of the Road” for UK Citizens’ Climate Case

In December 2017 the NGO Plan B and 11 UK citizens filed a case seeking to compel the UK’s Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Secretary to raise the country’s target for cutting emissions by mid-century. Last July the High Court decided not to hold a full hearing on the case, and the plaintiffs took that decision to the Court of Appeals. On January 28 the appeals court refused the appeal, stating that the plaintiffs’ arguments had no prospect of success.
 
This is one of a growing number of cases in which civil society and individuals are challenging government policies on climate change. The Irish High Court heard arguments in late January on an NGO’s case over the country’s plan for limiting emissions, while the European General Court has said it will hear a case over the EU’s 2030 targets
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/01/30/end-road-uk-citizens-climate-case-rejected-appeal-court/>
 

Global Warming Myth Debunked

Global warming activists argue CO2 emissions are destroying the planet, but the climate impacts of CO2 are minimal, at worst. Claims of unprecedented CO2 levels ignore most of Earth’s 4.6-billion-year history. For example, 600 million years ago, when history’s greatest birth of new animal species occurred, atmospheric CO2 concentrations exceeded 6,500 parts per million, which is 16 times today’s 410 ppm. Over billions of years, the geologic record shows there is no long-term correlation between atmospheric CO2 levels and Earth’s climate.
 
Currently all living things on Earth produce 440 billion tonnes of CO2 each year, or 13 times the amount from fossil-fuel emissions. When the activists make their apocalyptic pronouncements, the primary goal is not to save plants, humans or animals, but to use “climate change” as justification for centralizing power into the hands of a select few.
 
<https://www.westernjournal.com/global-warming-myth-debunked-humans-minimal-impact-atmospheres-carbon-dioxide-climate/>

 

2019-01-26

 

Dark Green Money Reveals Vast Self-Dealing Network in Canada’s Climate Change “Leadership”

Dark Green Money is a new report by Ottawa energy policy consultant, Robert Lyman, that takes the mask off the big green funding machine behind Canada’s Climate Change “Leadership”, was issued by Friends of Science on Jan. 15, 2019. According to Friends of Science, what is in play in Canada sounds like the proposed US Green New Deal, as outlined by Vox, Jan. 7, 2019. 
 
Dark Green Money gives a glimpse into a vast self-dealing network of foreign billionaire foundation funding in Canada, detailing staggering amounts of money pouring into questionable “climate change” initiatives.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/18/dark-green-money-reveals-vast-self-dealing-network-in-canadas-climate-change-leadership-like-green-new-deal-proposal-says-friends-of-science/>
<https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2018/12/21/18144138/green-new-deal-alexandria-ocasio-cortez
 

Exposing the Money behind the US-based Campaign to Kill the Alberta Oilsands

Vivian Krause has become synonymous with the fight against the concerted effort by US oil interests working to land-lock Canadian oil and gas by using environmental groups to protest against the industry with the stated aim of grinding development to a halt. On January 16 she warned the Indian Resource Council-which represents 134 First Nations that have oil and gas resources on their land- what kind of opposition it will face if it pushes forward with a plan to purchase the Trans Mountain pipeline from the federal government, saying: “you don’t just get the pipeline, you get a foreign-funded campaign along with the pipeline.”
 
Eight years ago, while researching who was behind an unscientific, misinformation campaign against farmed Canadian salmon, Ms. Krause “came across these three little words: Tar Sands Campaign” in the tax forms of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund (which, ironically, made its billions from oil and gas). She saw that the foundation donated $1.4 million in 2007 to Corporate Ethics, “to recruit the groups, develop the strategy, create a co-ordinated campaign and act as a re-granting agency for the North American Tar Sands Campaign,” states CorpEthics.org, the group’s website. “This strategy is successful to this day,” adds the CorpEthics post. “All the proposed pipelines in Canada have effectively been blocked.”
 
Ms. Krause finished her talk with this question: “We need to ask ourselves, what would Texas do if a group of charitable foundations from Canada were running a multimillion-dollar campaign to land-lock Texan crude? Would they let it go on for 10 years? I don’t think so. Maybe that’s what we need. We need to think like Texas.”
 
<https://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/corbella-vivian-krause-should-become-a-household-name-across-canada?fbclid=IwAR3S21H_vcss-13WHq0msFQKZHBUslWTo5gqB8Mjo6oa6cNV7lJqUbXXVzA
 

Blaming Canada’s Sky-high Emissions on Alberta

The City of Victoria, which gets more than 200 cruise ship visits a year and is aggressively trying to attract more, has announced plans to launch a class action lawsuit against the oil and gas sector. The idea is to tally up the various damages done to the city by climate change and send the bill to the likes of Suncor or CNRL. This is the latest salvo of a movement that seeks to singularly blame the oil industry for climate change while conveniently ignoring the millions of daily consumer choices, often made by activists themselves. Across the Georgia Strait the City of Vancouver hosts the largest single coal export facility-Westshore Terminals-in North America. Coal is British Columbia’s main export commodity, with $3.32 billion worth being shipped in 2016. 
 
In fact, it turns out that everywhere in Canada, except Alberta, is emitting more CO2 than they assume. In per-capita terms, Alberta has a carbon footprint of 67 tonnes/year, compared to 13 t for the average Ontarian and 10 t for the average Quebecer. The reason is all the emissions in producing petroleum products is charged to Alberta. If the oil-production emissions were charged to the end users, the emissions for Alberta, Ontario and Quebec would be 39.5 t, 17.6 t and 15 t, respectively.
 
Also, Canadians are driving more and bigger cars. Only ten years ago trucks, vans and SUVs made up 45% of Canada’s private vehicle sales. In 2017 that figure had risen to 69%. In Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver, most commutes are by car. More and more Canadians are sending up their carbon footprint by flying. Every anti-oil sands activist uses eye-watering quantities of fossil fuels.
 
<https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/youre-all-hypocrites-why-its-a-colossal-cop-out-to-keep-blaming-canadas-sky-high-emissions-on-alberta>
<https://www.vicnews.com/news/city-of-victoria-endorses-potential-class-action-lawsuit-against-fossil-fuel-giants/>
 

Carbon Taxation Needs a Buy-in

Joe Oliver, a former minister of finance and of natural resources, says that the outcome of next fall’s federal election will depend on whether the public buys into climate-change alarmism. Mr. Oliver describes five ways in which extreme polarization of the debate over climate change has occurred. However, the public may sense that alarmist hysteria suggests uncertainty and that hard evidence does not point to an inevitable catastrophe. Thus Canadians are unwilling to make painful sacrifices today to prevent an unsure dystopian future that the government has not demonstrated it can do anything to prevent. Other countries are putting their own economic interests first, despite their hypocritical posturing at the UN.
 
<https://nationalpost.com/opinion/joe-oliver-carbon-taxation-needs-public-buy-in-are-you-seeing-much-of-that>
 

Rex Murphy: Spare Us the Mantras about the Environment and the Economy

Environment and Climate Change Minister Catherine McKenna likes to state: “The environment and the economy go hand in hand.” These two concepts are too vast and complex for any one-to-one equivalence. This simplistic slogan tries to pass off as a truism that there is equal and mutual correspondence between two of the most intricately dynamic, various systems known to peoplekind.
 
For example, consider the question: Should one build a small waste-disposal plant, get 15 jobs for a small town, or save the rare puff-breasted, beakless codswallop? Both cannot be accommodated. As that campaign against Alberta energy shows, for professional activists and protesters, the environment is a concept-weapon to be used to confound and obstruct the economy.
 
For the activists the economy is the enemy of the environment. Anywhere you find Green radicalism, Green advocacy, Greenpeace, or Green parties, you will find attacks on industry and jobs wrapped up in the false flag of “concern for the environment” and the avoidance of global-warming perdition. This Minister McKenna’s chirpy slogan is a mockery of the biggest internal issue in Canadian politics today.
 
<https://nationalpost.com/opinion/rex-murphy-spare-us-the-yoga-mat-mantras-about-the-environment-and-the-economy>
 

Green No More: Germany Delays Coal Exit

Economy and Energy Minister, Peter Altmaier, said that Germany needs to retain half its coal-generation capacity until 2030, to offset the closure of its nuclear reactors by 2021/22. Specifically he stated: "No other country getting out of coal is also getting out of nuclear power,” adding that “the ending of nuclear and the phasing-out of coal should not overwhelm each other.” 
 
After late-night talks on January 25, a commission drawn from industry, civil society, green groups and government outlined a plan to phase out coal-fired power generation by 2038.
 
<https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/coal/012219-germany-needs-longer-timetable-to-end-coal-fired-power-minister>
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/01/26/german-quit-coal-2038-commission-proposal/>
 

More and Bigger Private Jets Land at Davos as Elites Discuss Climate Change

At least 1,500 private jets are expected to arrive at the World Economic Forum in Davos, up from last year’s 1,300. Also, this year’s jets tend to be larger and more expensive. “This is at least in part due to some of the long distances traveled, but also possibly due to business rivals not wanting to be seen to be outdone by one another,” said Andy Christie, the private jets director at Air Charter Service. 
 
The high-profile event started on January 21 with naturalist and broadcaster David Attenborough urging attendees to take action against global warming before it’s too late. “What we do now, and in the next few years, will profoundly affect the next few thousand years,” he implored. The effects of global warming are well known to the WEF. Its own Global Risk Report, published earlier this year, identified climate change and environmental degradation as “the gravest threats” over the next 10 years.
 
<http://fortune.com/2019/01/22/more-and-bigger-private-jets-landing-at-davos-as-leaders-discuss-climate-change/>
<https://www.aircharterserviceusa.com/about-us/news-features/news/1500-private-jets-predicted-to-descend-on-davos-this-week>
<https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2019/jan/21/david-attenborough-tells-davos-the-garden-of-eden-is-no-more>
<https://www.weforum.org/reports/the-global-risks-report-2019>
 

IEA: Electric Cars Will Not Stop Rising Oil Demand

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Fatih Birol, head of the International Energy Agency, reported that while electric car use may be growing exponentially, they are doing little to curb rising CO2 emissions and oil demand. He said: “This year we expect global oil demand to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day. The effect of 5 million cars is [to diminish that demand by] 50,000 barrels per day. 50,000 versus 1.3m barrels.” Last year, the IEA predicted that the number of electric cars globally would grow from 3 million today, to 125 million by 2030. But Mr. Birol said the number paled in comparison to the 1 billion cars powered by internal combustion engines.
 
<https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/01/22/electric-cars-will-not-stop-rising-oil-demand-says-energy-agency-chief/>
 

China’s Coal Output Highest in Three Years

China’s December coal output climbed 2.1% from the year before, government data showed, hitting the highest level in over three years as major miners ramped up production amid robust winter demand and after the country started up new mines. Miners produced 320.38 million tonnes of coal in December, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics. That is the largest volume since June, 2015.
 
<https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-china-economy-output-coal/chinas-coal-output-hits-highest-in-over-3-years-as-mines-start-up-idUKKCN1PF0DI>
<https://www.forbes.com/sites/judeclemente/2019/01/23/coal-is-not-dead-china-proves-it/#210b22aa65fa>
 

US Conservatives Push for More Permanent Exit from Paris Agreement

While President Trump announced that the US will withdraw from the agreement, the withdrawal takes three years and won’t be completed until after the 2020 election. If Mr. Trump were defeated a future administration could reimpose it. To prevent this, the solution is to submit the Paris Agreement to the Senate for ratification as a treaty, where it would be defeated, for good.
 
<https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/jan/20/conservatives-want-more-permanent-exit-from-paris-/?utm_source=CCNet+Newsletter&utm_campaign=ac164ec2dd-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_01_22_03_06&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_fe4b2f45ef-ac164ec2dd-20168513>
 

Climate Change Concern is Surging-But Nobody Wants to Pay More Taxes

A poll from Yale and George Mason University found that Americans believe that climate change is happening and could harm their families and the country. However, another poll conducted by Associated Press and the University of Chicago says they are not willing to pay any more to “fight climate change” than they were three years ago. In fact, 70% of Americans say they wouldn’t pay $10/month to cool the planet. 
 
Part of the problem might be that people don’t trust politicians. Also, the greens have been saying for years that renewable energy is the cheapest option. If so, why would anyone pay more for something which is supposed to be cheaper?
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/25/claim-climate-change-concern-is-surging-but-nobody-wants-to-pay-more-taxes/>
<https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/01/do-most-americans-believe-climate-change-polls-say-yes/580957/>
 

97% of Scientists Agree on: Nothing

According to Prof. Ian Plimer, while it is often claimed that 97% of scientist conclude that humans are causing global warming, it is a zombie statistic. In his 50-year scientific career he has never seen a hypothesis where 97% of scientists agree. The oft-quoted 97% figure derives from a survey sent to 10,257 people with a self-interest in human-induced global warming who published “science” supported by taxpayer-funded research grants. Replies from 3146 respondents were whittled down to 77 self-appointed climate “scientists” of whom 75 were judged to agree that human-induced warming was taking place. Thus the 97% comes from a tribe with only 77 members, and there is no mention that 75 out of 3146 is only 2.38%.
 
More recently a paper claimed that published scientific papers showed there was a 97.1% consensus that man had caused at least half of the 0.7°C global warming since 1950. This was determined by “inspection” of 11,944 published papers by a “citizen science” group of volunteers contributing to the Skeptical Science website. This study was a biased compilation of opinions from non-scientific, politically motivated volunteer activists who used a search engine for key words in 11,944 scientific papers, were unable to understand the scientific context of the use of “global warming” and “global climate change”, who rebadged themselves as “citizen scientists” to hide their activism and ignorance, who did not read the complete papers and were unable to evaluate critically the diversity of science published therein.
 
As Dr. Plimer concludes: “Activists with no skin in the game are setting the scene for economic suicide. Time for yellow shirts to shirt-front politicians about their uncritical acceptance of a fraud that has already cost the community hundreds of billions of dollars.”
 
<https://www.thegwpf.com/ian-plimer-97-of-scientists-agree-on-nothing/>

 

2019-01-03

 

StatCan Exposes How Worthless “Green” Industries Are

Statistics Canada reported last month that environmental and clean-tech industries accounted for 3.1% of Canada GDP in 2017, about the same as in 2007, despite ten years of pro-green policies and hefty government support. The green economy is even less important for jobs, contributing only 1.6% of total employment. This ignores the job losses resulting from the higher cost of renewable energy. Despite the evidence showing environment and economy work in opposite directions, politicians like federal environment minister Catherine McKenna keep repeating that they don’t.
 
There are two lessons to be drawn from the tepid growth of Canada’s green sector. It will be a long time, if ever, before it makes a significant contribution to jobs and income in Canada. And in the meantime, even its marginal and largely meaningless existence will be expensive for both taxpayers and electricity customers.
 
<https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/philip-cross-statcan-just-exposed-how-worthless-green-industries-are-to-canadas-economy>
 

Poll: Trudeau’s Carbon Tax Won’t Motivate Canadians to Switch to More Fuel-efficient Transportation

An Ipsos poll of 2001 Canadians conducted last month suggests a disconnect between Canadians’ acceptance of climate change as a problem and their willingness to potentially incur financial loss to help the government tackle it. Fewer than one in five Canadians said gas prices between $1.00 and $1.25 a litre would prompt them to switch to a more fuel-efficient car or find alternate modes of transportation; it would take a near doubling of gas prices to $2.00-$2.25/litre to make them rethink their vehicular choices. 
 
The dilemma facing the Trudeau government is that gas prices in that $2.00 to $2.25 per litre range wouldn’t merely convinces Canadians to switch to fuel-efficient transportation, they might also convince many Canadians to vote the Liberals out. Only 19% of respondents chose climate change among the three issues that they said are most likely to influence their voting decisions in this year’s federal election.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/29/trudeaus-carbon-tax-on-gas-wont-motivate-canadians-to-switch-to-fuel-efficient-transportation-ipsos-poll/>
 

US Court Rules Against Young Climate Activists

The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals sided with the Department of Justice (DOJ) in a Dec. 26 ruling that granted the DOJ’s petition for interlocutory appeal that decreases the chances of the climate lawsuit going to trial anytime soon. Our Children’s Trust filed the suit against the federal government in 2015 on behalf of 21 youths, aged 11 to 22, arguing their right to a “stable climate system” was being violated. The suit asks the court to order the government to issue laws and regulations to fight global warming. The legal process will continue during 2019.
 
<https://dailycaller.com/2019/01/02/trump-global-warming-youth-lawsuit/>
 

US Democrats’ Green New Deal

Following the recent midterm elections some Democratic members of Congress, in particular NY Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, are proposing a “green new deal” to decarbonize the US economy. In less than 10 years under this deal: 100% of electricity would come from renewable sources; a national “smart grid”; upgrading of every residential and industrial building for state-of-the art energy efficiency and comfort; decarbonizing manufacturing, agricultural and other industries; decarbonizing, repairing and improving transportation and other infrastructure; funding massive investment in the drawdown and capture of greenhouse gases. 
 
The massive investment required would be funded not only through taxation, but primarily by increasing the money supply via the Federal Reserve and by new public banks to extend credit.
 
<https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-why-some-us-democrats-want-a-green-new-deal-to-tackle-climate-change>
<https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/417843-five-things-to-know-about-ocasio-cortezs-green-new-deal>
 

The Greenpeace Business Report

The Heartland Institute has published a report, by an international team of five authors, on Greenpeace’s business model and philosophy. Over the last 20 years Greenpeace’s annual income has risen from $150 million to over $350 million. Greenpeace is a Dutch company with assets of $277 million, of which 64% is in cash or equivalent. It has a highly-centralized structure and requires local (i.e., national) branches to prioritize the organization’s global agenda.
 
Greenpeace’s modus operandi is to find a catastrophic and urgent campaign issue; choose a villain and a sympathetic victim; choose a simple and plausible solution to the issue while accusing the villain of preventing the solution from being implemented; issue a call to action and get people engaged; control the narrative by using sympathetic media outlets. Education increases knowledge and understanding, which undermines the campaign’s call to action. 
 

Over 1994-2015 Greenpeace waged campaigns on a variety of issues that have waxed and waned over time with some campaigns (e.g., biodiversity, GM foods, nuclear, peace & disarmament) being discontinued. However, the campaign on man-made climate change continued throughout the study period, though its relative importance has recently declined.

 
In the words of the Wilderness Society vice president of public policy Rindy O’Brien: Greenpeace has tended to look for ways to publicize problems instead of ways to actually solve them.” 
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/20/the-heartland-greenpeace-business-report/>
<https://andymaypetrophysicist.com/greenpeace-crimes-and-lies-2/>
 

Furious NGOs Sue French Government over Carbon Tax Retreat

Four NGOs—Oxfam, Greenpeace, Notre Affaire à Tous, and Fondation pour la Nature et l’Homme—have initiated legal proceedings saying France has defaulted on its environmental obligations. This is the result of the gilets jaunes protests over the government’s attempted increase in carbon taxes on automotive fuels and its subsequent rescinding of the tax. The initial December 18 filing gives the government two months to respond, after which the organizations can choose to move forward with their lawsuit in administrative court.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/27/furious-greenpeace-oxfam-suing-the-french-government-over-macrons-carbon-tax-retreat/>
<https://qz.com/1507841/petition-to-sue-france-over-climate-change-is-signed-by-1-7-million/>
 

Climate Skeptics: The Despised Minority

Paul Krugman, New York Times Columnist and 2008 winner of the Nobel Prize in economics, declines to use the word “skeptic.” In November 2018 he published in the Times an opinion piece, The Depravity of Climate Change Denial - Risking civilization for profit, ideology and ego. In his words: “there are almost no good-faith climate-change deniers.”
As Donna Laframboise concludes: “In other contexts, we make a point of treating minorities with courtesy. But it remains open season on people who think humanity has more pressing problems than climate change, who draw different conclusions from the available scientific evidence, who’ve concluded that science is being abused by political operatives, or who’ve noticed that many similar eco-apocalyptic predictions have failed to materialize.”
 
<https://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2019/01/02/climate-skeptics-the-despised-minority/>
<https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/26/opinion/climate-change-denial-republican.html>
 

The World Is Bored with Climate Change

Public interest in “climate change” peaked in March 2007 as Al Gore and “An Inconvenient Truth” basked in the glow of an Academy Award win, but faded away ever since. RealClear Politics surveyed climate change news on CNN, MSNBC and Fox News, as well as worldwide news coverage in 65 languages. Also surveyed were Google searches for “climate change” and “global warming.” Coverage peaked in 2009 with the Copenhagen climate conference, in 2015 with the Paris Accord and again in 2017 when President Trump announced US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
 
RealClear Politics’ conclusion: “Whether this means the world believes the debate about causality and consequences is settled or whether the public has been so inundated with climate messaging that it simply can’t sustain the same level of concern anymore, the end result is that the topic has been slowly fading from the public view.”
 
<https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/12/21/are_we_bored_with_climate_change_138984.html>
 

Germany’s Green Transition Has Hit a Brick Wall

While Germany has installed enough wind and solar power to theoretically supply the power requirements on any day with sufficient wind and sunshine, both of the latter are frequently lacking. More problematical is that wind turbines and solar panels often overproduce, creating major problems in equalizing production and consumption. Production is often too high to keep the network frequency stable without disconnecting some solar and wind facilities. This leads to major energy losses and forced power exports to neighbouring countries (“load shedding”) at negative prices. In 2017 about half of Germany’s wind power was exported.
 
Germany can never shut down its thermal power plants as planned. Without them a stable network frequency is impossible. Solar and wind power today covers only 27% of electricity consumption and only 5% of Germany’s total energy needs, while impairing reliability and raising electricity prices to among the highest in the world. Yet the country’s goal still is to get 60% of total energy from renewables by 2050.
 

 <https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/12/21/germanys-green-transition-has-hit-a-brick-wall/>

 

Can Wind and Solar Replace Fossil Fuels?

Politicians, such as New York’s Andrew Cuomo, sometimes make announcements like: “The Clean Energy Standard will require 50 percent of New York’s electricity to come from renewable energy sources like wind and solar by 2030…” To determine whether that is even possible, it’s worth considering the example of Germany, which has some of the highest electric bills in the world as well as a high proportion of its electric power produced by wind and solar (19%). As the plots in the WUWT article show, the increase in wind and solar between 2011 and 2016 (from 68 to 116 billion kWh) had no effect on fossil fuel use. However, the grid suffered from increasing stability problems, and Germany is now plagued with blackouts.
 
As advertised by its politicians, Germany gets 19% of its energy from wind and solar. What they do not say is that it also exports 1/3 of that energy out of country, leaving its carbon footprint unchanged since 2011. Some small countries, notably Denmark, have advertised that they get 50% or more of their energy from sun and wind. What they really mean is that they have a large country (in the case of Denmark, Germany) next to them absorbing that power and selling them power when the wind stops blowing and the sun goes down.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/01/can-wind-and-solar-replace-fossil-fuels/>
 

Sustainable Fuels Unlikely to Replace Hydrocarbons for Air Travel

Commercial air travel poses a problem for climate change fighters. There is no viable low-carbon substitute for most of today’s air travel. Aircraft CO2 emissions are projected to quadruple by 2050 from 2010 levels. Airlines are counting on what they call Sustainable Aviation Fuel, produced from vegetable oils or biomass, such as soybeans, sugar cane, or algae.
 
According to the International Civil Aviation Organization replacement of traditional aviation fuel from hydrocarbons with SAF would require 170 new large bio refineries to be built every year from 2020 to 2050 at a cost of up to $60 billion per year. But it’s not clear that sustainable aviation fuels will significantly reduce CO2 emissions. When traditional aviation fuel combusts, about three tonnes of carbon dioxide are created from each tonne of fuel. When SAF is burned, about three tonnes of CO2 is also exhausted for each tonne of fuel. Hence, hydrocarbon fuels will remain essential for air travel.
 
<https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/03/sustainable-fuels-unlikely-to-replace-hydrocarbons-for-air-travel/>
 

Organic Food Worse for the Climate

A new international study published in Nature finds that organically-farmed food has a greater climate impact than the conventionally-farmed kind. While organic farming has lower direct emissions through use of less fossil fuel, it produces less crops per hectare, which leads to greater indirect CO2 emissions from deforestation. For example, organically-farmed peas in Sweden have a 50% greater impact; for Swedish winter wheat the difference is closer to 70%.
 
The researchers used a new metric, which they call “Carbon Opportunity Cost”, to evaluate the effect of greater land-use contributing to higher carbon dioxide emissions from deforestation. This metric takes into account the amount of carbon that is stored in forests, and thus released as carbon dioxide as an effect of deforestation. The study is among the first in the world to make use of this metric.

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